Foreword

I have been avoiding the sub since the draft, I am curious to see how close to the consensus I am. Please be aware that there is no ranking within tiers, however you may be able to tease out my favorites.
Just as we all expected; Mecole Hardman drafted before DK Metcalf, Andy Isabella before Kelvin Harmon, Stanley Morgan undrafted, Bryce Love before Rodney Anderson. To say I’m baffled, would be an understatement. I don’t pretend to know more than NFL teams do about the talent of these players and how they fit into their systems; but I do know draft capital isn’t perfectly representative of fantasy points.
In the words of Frank Reich, paraphrasing, “it’s about the journey not the destination.” The goal is to improve every year and get the most out of every roster decision; to improve the logic in selecting talents and ensure that choices are being made on sound logic, grounded by appropriate context.
The question that has been on my mind in recent months has been what is the difference between these numbers? It led me down the road of dismissing nearly all comparative qualities of timed events from the combine. There is simply too much evidence ( #1, #2) to suggest that combine timing is not consistent and is randomly biased leaving the data with little to no predictive qualities. I subscribe to Josh Norris’ 2 Sigma barriers, I only grow concerned when their collective athletic testing is below two standard deviations of the mean.
Next down the road is draft capital. What does it mean if a player goes one pick before another? 5 picks? 10 picks? Do you trust a Ryan Grigson top 30 pick over a Bill Belichick top 90 pick?
A few months ago, I started this process looking at receivers selected in the top 10. What I found is if a receiver goes in the top 6-8 you just need to select them. Often, they are successful. Doesn’t mean they aren’t infallible, however, relatively speaking—they are about as safe as possible. I suggest caution around fast guys.
Before going down a more detailed design process, I wanted to get a sense for the data I was working with. I grabbed 20 years of WR data (through 2016) from Pro-Football-Reference (PFR) and plotted it on a chart (see here). The axes are the percentage of players drafted at that slot that crossed the specific thresholds (CarAV 10, 20, 30, 50). CarAV is a career approximate value developed and used by PFR, weighted toward a player’s most prolific seasons. Finally, I smooth these lines with polynomial trend lines.
You can inspect the data yourself. You will find players with a CarAV 10 or greater at least had an opportunity to play in the NFL. Same goes for CarAV 20 or greater but begins to showcase players that flashed (if Victor Cruz’s career ended after 3 seasons, he would cross this threshold). CarAV 30, sets the bar higher for success. Once you reach CarAV 50, you start to get into most of your studs and long-term NFL players.
Conclusions to be drawn from the above chart:

• The higher you are drafted, the greater the opportunity you see the field. See CarAV 10 & CarAV 20 trend lines. The slope of the CarAV 10 line doesn’t start shifting until around the end of the fourth round. The slope of the CarAV 20 line doesn’t begin to shift until the end of the first round. Aligns with expectations
• When looking at the CarAV 30 line, we find there is a flattening in the slope of the line between picks 20-60, suggesting the chance a player becomes a decent starter is little to no different for a player selected at pick 25 vs pick 45.
• Now the fun one, setting the bar higher, CarAV 50; the chances a player becomes a stud or long-term NFL player are essentially no different from pick 20 to pick 90. The line is essentially flat between pick 20 through pick 70 and I can’t imagine there is a statistically significant difference between the hit rates for pick 80 and pick 30.
• You will also notice a distinct lack of productive talent (see CarAV 30 & CarAV 50 lines) between picks 130 and 160. I can’t imagine this is anything more than an issue with the size of the sample or perhaps the risks or types of players teams are taking in this range. I also wouldn’t begin chasing receivers around pick 200, attempting to pick out late round receivers is a bit absurd as there are so many.

To summarize, top 10 picks at WR are about the safest bets you can make. They do bust, but teams use what they draft and are generally pretty good at making the selection. Receivers selected between pick 20 and 90 have little difference in hit rates, and while there is a certain level of pragmatism in selecting players by draft pick (as past analyses have shown), there is plenty of evidence to suggest drafting a player who was selected at pick 55 is no worse a proposition compared to a player selected at pick 25.
I will do the same thing for running backs soon. Considering the lack of talent in this RB class, I am not motivated to do it this afternoon.
Every team has differing philosophies, nearly every team in the NFL changes drastically year-to-year. I’m not here to tell you how to draft, however this is how I see the world. This is my exclusive draft board, minus sleepers (I will share those after I draft in my leagues). There are numerous talents missing that I’m simply not interested in as those teams are presently constituted. I consider these missing players to be pure noise and don’t really aide in assembling my draft plan. This list will adapt with news over time.

Tier I

DK Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Elite athlete, comes from football bloodlines, works as hard if not harder than anyone else in this draft. This is a high-risk pick through and through. His college career was sullied by injuries, and frankly a poor environment; however, he has been unflappable in the face of adversity. He never considered any other team (Ole Miss) in recruiting. He has consistently come back stronger and faster from every injury, and the day after falling to the 64th pick he was back on the field doing drills.
During the draft process he trained with Jerry Sullivan, a 20+ year veteran WR coach, and will now work with Pete Carroll, his son Nate Carroll (Seattle WR coach), and Russell Wilson. In the press conference, Carroll and Schneider highlighted his work ethic and otherworldly potential. It is important to note that they traded up for him. They traded *for** him.* They plan to get him immediately involved in the play-action game, either in run-blocking support or generating those chunk plays down field. Paraphrasing, they are chiefly concerned with utilizing his current skillset to it’s fullest while expanding his route tree.
What does the future look like for DK Metcalf in Seattle? Assuming he doesn’t get injured, and assuming they are creative enough with him, he’s probably looking at somewhere between 90-130 targets over the next few years. Tyler Lockett is an excellent player, but not necessarily insurmountable. Doug Baldwin appears to be riding the injury cart into retirement. David Moore and Gary Jennings are not threatening in their current form. Seattle may be low volume, but they are a high yield offense, taking one look at the productivity of top options of the years bears that fruit.
Given Baldwin’s past production, it is not outside of the realm of possibility that we are looking at a WR3 floor and high-end WR2 ceiling in his early career. (100-130 targets, 60-80 receptions, 12-15YPR, 6-10 touchdowns)

Parris Campbell, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Two-year team captain (2017, 2018) for Ohio State and current record holder for most receptions in a season. Reich believes Parris has an immediate role underneath and can grow into being an outside receiver. He projects to immediately usurp Chester Rogers in the slot, and with adequate growth could come to be TY Hilton’s (2019 is his age 30 season) replacement.
After years of turmoil, the Indianapolis offense is at a high point with Andrew Luck back at the helm. He set career best marks of completion percentage, QBR, and second-best rates in almost every other category. The one thing lacking in the Indy offense is skill position talent. No offense to Funchess, Rogers, Cain, or even TY Hilton; but the glory days of Indy’s talent supremacy on offense is long gone. With that hole, it sets Parris Campbell up for a generational role alongside the maturing Andrew Luck.
In Urban Meyers words, “he can do it all,” he is an 8-10 guy; a guy that you want to touch the ball 8-10 times a game. Urban Meyers, who coached Percy Harvin at Florida, called him a Percy Harvin clone. If Indy agrees, that’s 130-160 touches a year, the clear majority being passing targets from a stud passer.
One last tidbit I came across. Parris Campbell was the youngest full-offer scholarship Urban Meyer ever made (15).

Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Following in the footsteps of a generational runner cannot be easy. Walking into the weight room, feeling like the top dog, and seeing Saquon Barkley warming up to your maxes, must feel like a punch to the gut. Five-star recruit Miles Sanders lived it. Biding his time behind a generational talent, and when he was yielded an opportunity running with it. Sanders is ever bit of a 13-game starter, raw in many ways, however the Philadelphia Eagles scouting department, front office decision makers, and coaching staff have all looked past it and are absolutely raving about him.
With a team that has lacked a true bell-cow back since LeSean McCoy departed during the Chip Kelly era, the coaching staff believe they have found their guy. Objectively, from the outside, Sanders appears to be the perfect slasher that would fit a KC/PHI/Chicago, Reid-disciples offense. Even many people on this sub kept a watchful eye on Sanders potentially landing with KC.
Sanders may lose some early down work, and goal line work to Jordan Howard, but Miles Sanders, the 21-year-old guy out of PSU, is in line for a major role alongside Carson Wentz and that Pederson led offense.

Joshua Jacobs, RB, Oakland Raiders

A former three-star recruit worked his way past Damien Harris, a Saban favorite to become a key outlet for Tua and the Alabama offense. This is tape vs analytics, where the analytics scream avoid the tape shows us a football player that can do anything, and everything asked of him. Reports suggest Gruden wanted to trade up into the teens to seize on Jacobs and it appears that Raiders agreed with numerous draftniks that had him as a top 15 talent in this draft.
In Gruden’s hay-day, RBs were the engine of the Gruden offense, and that is an easy projection for the jack-of-all-trades, Joshua Jacobs.
I’ll let someone else do the work, but Gruden’s running back history matches up with the Frank Gore (NFL version) comparison and expected production. (Frank Gore – Pre-Knee Injury – is a lofty comp, strongly recommend people go watch him pre-knee injury whenever you can)

N’Keal Harry, WR, New England Patriots

Who am I to doubt Bill Belichick, the Patriots organization or the draft capital?
Paraphrasing an answer to “How does the system run at Arizona State compare to New England?” Nick Caserio (Director of Player Personnel, New England Patriots) answered, “It doesn’t, it doesn’t matter how complex of a system they come from, any athlete, it’s completely different and completely new.” Caserio implies the Patriots believe that a prospects intelligence and ability to learn are more important than any past system experience. An important lesson for all draftniks.
A couple of common gripes I’ve heard about N’Keal Harry is the complexity of the Patriots’ offense and the Patriots’ draft record at the position. While you cannot dispel the complexity issue, N’Keal must learn and adapt. I believe there is evidence in Caserio’s words to dispel the idea that N’Keal could be better equipped or better trained in college. If they are selecting him at 32, they believe he is equipped to learn and adapt.
Now to the Patriots draft record. As we know them, Day 1 & Day 2 picks in the Belichick era:

• Deion Branch, pick 65 (productive NFL player, unspectacular fantasy receiver)
• Brandon Tate, pick 83 (knee injuries, never returned to form)
• Bethel Johnson, pick 45 (reported attitude problems, and poor conditioning [work ethic])
• Aaron Dobson, pick 59 (persistent ankle injuries)
• Chad Jackson, pick 36 (ACL injury in the AFC championship game of his rookie year, never recovered)
• Taylor Price, pick 90 (supreme athlete that never developed into a competent receiver, redshirted his first year, didn’t finish his second with the Patriots)

All-in-all, the late third round guys were more project receivers they took swings on, while the earlier day 2 picks were either productive or suffered from chronic injuries. Unless you believe N’Keal Harry is going to suffer from work ethic issues, is an all-world athlete that cannot develop into a receiver or will be bitten by the injury bug—there is nothing to take away from past draft experiences.
Like the above receivers, Harry doesn’t project to an immediate 120+ target, WR1; but the stability of the organization and quality of current coaches/quarterbacks lend to the development of Harry into the team’s WR1.

Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals

I’m not going to get too far into this one. The metrics are excellent, he’s the best natural thrower of the football in the class and in superflex, with his running ability it’s hard to deny his ceiling. Players of his ilk are easy yearly QB1s (see Dak Prescott).
There are considerable red flags; the Cardinals organization, Kingsbury, little improvement to that offensive line, only one year of collegiate production, and his size. But if you need a quarterback and you are picking high, the only two guys I’m looking at are Haskins and Murray—with Murray getting the nod.
If you are picking for value at the top of a superflex league—be wary of the liquidity of talent. Many people on the sub will simply say, “take QB, flip it later.” The problem is, you can’t always flip players later. Just because we can assign a tangible value to a player does not mean you can find a suitor willing to acquire him. The same pitfall stands when you notice a player falling in drafts. For example, last year, say Courtland Sutton fell into the late second and you traded up for him because “it’s easy money.” Don’t be surprised if no one is willing to pay for him later in the year or until they truly breakout. The league has already tipped their hat to the fact they aren’t that interested.
If you don’t need a QB, don’t believe your league is liquid enough or can’t get anyone to trade up with you in the moment, there is no shame in seeking one of the RBs or WRs.

Tier II

My next two tiers essentially become pick ‘ems. I know I’ll catch some flak for not taking a stand and breaking up these tiers. I thought about getting creative but, I didn’t see a ton of value in it. I split this tier, in the sense of who I think could hold immediate value. However, the guys after the split are easily in the conversation for me, and I could see myself taking them as high as pick 7.

• David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears
• Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers
• Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
• Noah Fant, TE, Denver Broncos
• TJ Hockenson, TE, Detriot Lions
• Dwayne Haskins, QB, Washington Redskins

Before the split, I see Montgomery as the next best runner with a clear role in a well-coached offense. Barring ascension to supremacy by the Biscuit (Trubisky), the engine of this system is still the running game and Montgomery is an excellent multi-faceted back. Everyone wanted him to Kansas City, and like Miles Sanders above—this is a similarly solid situation. Montgomery is not a flawless prospect, Chicago doesn’t project as a high-end offense, but at pick 7 you can’t go wrong.
Deebo Samuel and Mecole Hardman don’t strike me as true WR1s in the NFL. I could very easily see Deebo Samuel carve out a Pierre Garcon type role in San Francisco, and Hardman occupy the slot in Kansas City. I do not believe Hardman is anywhere near as prolific as Tyreek Hill, but if you can get 70% of Tyreek’s 2018 production I think we will be happy.
Fant and Hockenson go to excellent situations. Detroit just last year was desiring a true TE1, trying to acquire Gronkowski. Hockenson might not be as prolific as Gronkowski, but I like the marriage. Be like Detroit, be above the Ebron debacle. I know everyone hates The Dragon (Flacco), but some of the best weapons in a Flacco offense have been running backs and tight ends. Noah Fant could be the Dennis Pitta, Flacco has been seeking. I do have mild concerns about reported work ethic issues with Fant. I may not be looking to acquire a TE in the first round of the draft—but wouldn’t scoff at it.

[split]

• Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills
• Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams
• AJ Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans
• JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Philadelphia Eagles
• Hakeem Butler, WR, Arizona Cardinals

What do you think of the Buffalo Bills or Los Angeles Rams running back corps? If you think Gurley is done, or Singletary can immediately carve out a role in the next 20 games—buy now. Neither back will prevent them from drafting one high next year, but they are both competent run-heavy systems and Singletary fits the mold of Reid backs (McDermott is another Reid disciple, and leader of Carolina-North)
If Tennessee learns how to throw the ball, AJ Brown has the potential to be the counter weight to Davis. No offense, Tajae Sharpe ain’t it, Taywan Taylor has had some opportunities, and Adam Humphries isn’t an obstacle if AJ Brown is good.
JJ Arcega-Whiteside perplexes me, but that is a conversation for another time. JJAW fits in as an Alshon Jeffery replacement. Alshon Jeffery is a potential cap casualty after the 2019 season, definitely after the 2020 season unless he restructures (if cut after…. ’19 – $16m cap hit, $7m dead cap; ’20 – $16m cap hit, $3m dead cap). Given Jeffery’s considerable injury history, this isn’t a bad play early in rookie drafts.
Hakeem Butler, what a wild ride. Kingsbury loves him, and if you give the Cardinals any faith, he may just be the WR1 in Arizona come 2020.

Tier III

Like above, this is just a tier of grab bags; a lot of guys I’m very curious about and would love to own at the right price.

• Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings

If you do not believe in Dalvin Cook, he has a place in tier II.

• Dexter Williams, RB, Green Bay Packers

Aaron Jones has a growing list of injuries, this is a make or break year. If he breaks again, Dexter could be in line for considerable touches.

• Bruce Anderson, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Exceptional passing down back in a Bruce Arians offense? Uhm, where do I sign up?

• Darwin Thompson, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

If the Damien Williams experiment falters, again where do we turn? How about a Darren Sproles lookalike?

• Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins

Opportunity.

• Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh and receivers, c’mon.

• Miles Boykin, WR, Baltimore Ravens

Ugh. He immediately takes Jaleel Scott’s spot, but what an ugly offense to project.

• Gary Jennings, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Love this guy, he’s a bit of a development prospect but I would be looking at him over a number of these guys on the list.

• Both, WR, Washington Redskins
  
• Jace Sternberger, TE, Green Bay Packers
  
• Irv Smith, TE, Minnesota Vikings ( thank you SASshampoo )
  
• Dawson Knox, TE, Buffalo Bills
  

Would much rather have Sternberger or Knox in the third than Fant or Hockenson in the first.

Thank you for reading, I look forward to the conversations and actually going and reading other people’s rankings now.

PRO-TIP: CTRL+F the players you care about
Week 2 Quick Thoughts
Announcement: I’m doing away with the Accountability Section for time reasons. I’m sorry, but it takes too long to write properly. Suffice it to say every week I will get plenty wrong and plenty right, like any other fantasy “analyst”. Read my work with a grain of salt and combine it with the opinions of all the other great fantasy writers around the web. Hopefully the insights are helpful towards making logical, winning lineup decisions! Onto the matchups!

Texans @ Patriots

• Through two weeks of play Brock Osweiler has settled in as a floor-play QB2. With his weapons, yardage should be there most weeks to float you a near average score and I’d expect that to continue this week. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller are looking like a truly deadly duo, and saw their target amount flip from week 1 to 2 to expected amounts. Hopkins is an every week WR1, and the rookie Fuller has more than earned every week WR3/Flex auto-start. Lamar Miller with 28 and 25 attempts in the first two weeks is an every week RB1 on volume alone. For those wanting to handcuff Miller, I believe Tyler Ervin is the man to own.
• Jacoby Brissett is obviously a downgrade for all Patriots players, and isn’t startable anywhere but the deepest of deep 2QB leagues. The largest beneficiary of the QB swap is probably LeGarrette Blount, who was already a large part of the Patriot’s game plan with Garoppolo under center and should see his role increase with an inexperienced rookie forced to start. He’s a solid RB2 to me. With the Patriots trying to pass as little as possible James White would be an ill advised flex – he’s a hold for when Brady returns. Julian Edelman probably has the talent to return WR3 numbers as the number one target. If Rob Gronkowski is able to start, you’re starting him as your TE1 – no TE has greater upside. Danny Amendola, Chris Hogan and Martellus Bennettare off my radar but staying on my bench until Brady returns. Bennett could be a startable TE is Gronk can’t go, however.

Redskins @ Giants

• Kirk Cousins has looked bad, but in a high volume passing offense he will have value as a low-end QB1. His bad luck with TDs in the redzone will regress to the mean and his performance should improve this season. However, the Giants newly improved D held Drew Brees to one touchdown, so this might not be the week. Jordan Reed is always a TE1, and should have a good game against a defense which has shown vulnerability to TEs in the past. DeSean Jackson has long been a boom or bust WR3 and you should fire him up as such in this matchup, but the Giants D has me thinking this week may be a bust. Jamison Crowder has serious flex appeal at this point in PPR leagues as Cousin’s safety valve. Pierre Garcon has lost flex appeal for me in most formats. Matt Jones looked better in week 2 but his workload will be inconsistent as he splits time with Chris Thompson. Jones is an RB3/flex and Thompson is a low end PPR flex.
• Eli Manning was close to having a much better day against the Saints last week. Despite the disappointment I still like him as a mid range QB1 every week with three very good weapons. Odell Beckham was also close to a much bigger day, committing an uncharacteristic drop on what was to be a surefire TD. He’s still an every week WR1. Sterling Shepard is a high end WR3/Flex going forward in this pass happy offense. Victor Cruz is getting as many targets as Shepard, but is doing less with them – still, he is a lower end flex in this passing attack. Rashad Jennings has had a rough start to the season, splitting more than expected with Shane Vereen and posting ~2 ypc against the weak New Orleans defense. With a wrist injury added to the mix of issues, he’ll be hard to trust as an RB3 this week. If he cannot go, a gross committee between Orleans Darkwa and Vereen is likely, and I would avoid it.

Ravens @ Jaguars

• Joe Flacco draws another plus matchup where he could be a worthy streamer in what promises to be a pass happy game. Mike Wallace has so far made the most of his targets, and this week he gets the Jaguars who were brutalized by Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams; I’d fire him up as a high end WR3. Dennis Pitta showed how important he is to the offense as an old favorite target of Flacco’s, he could be a TE1 going forward for those who stream the position. Steve Smith could boom one of these weeks but it will be hard to predict, his play has hit an age/Achilles wall – he’s a low end flex option despite the good matchup (last week was a good matchup too). Terrance West and Justin Forsett are cannibalizing each other’s opportunities and neither has been particularly impressive in their limited role. Both will be no more than flex plays, and Kenneth Dixon is a worthy stash to see if he can earn the job when he returns.
• Things get easier for Blake Bortles and the Jaguars passing attack going forward from here, and it starts this week against the Ravens. Allen Robinson had tough matchups to start the year but still got his volume, so he will be a WR1 all season. In a year that looks like a TE wasteland, Julius Thomas is a valuable reliable TE1 play. Allen Hurns is a flex play that benefitted from coverage on Robinson, I don’t particularly like him this year but he could always potentially break off a big play in this offense. TJ Yeldon was uninspiring in the feature role last week, he’ll be a low end RB2 if Ivory cannot go. If Chris Ivory can go, both he and Yeldon will be low end flexes.

Browns @ Dolphins

• Cody Kessler has entered the realm of starting quarterbacks, and the curse that must hang over the Browns organization is confirmed. Kessler was described as “not ready” just last week, and it’s definitely a downgrade for all Browns players. Isaiah Crowell will certainly be leaned on as much as possible, and with his production through two games he has entered RB2 discussion. Corey Coleman flashed his big play ability and the skills that make him so valuable in dynasty, but with Kessler under center I wouldn’t feel comfortable starting him this week. The same goes for Terrelle Pryor and Duke Johnson. It may be time for Gary Barnidge owners to embrace the stream; bench him this week for another option and wait to see if Kessler comes to rely on him as a safety valve.
• Ryan Tannehill had a nice garbage time comeback last week and gets a supreme matchup against the Browns at home in week 3 – he’s a prime QB streamer this week. Jarvis Landry can be trusted for WR2 numbers, particularly in PPR. DeVante Parker’s impressive 13 targets came in comeback mode, but they show that he is someone they trust, and for that reason he is an intriguing hold and not a bad flex play against the Browns. Jordan Cameron caught a TD last week but I still wouldn’t trust him in my TE slot. With Arian Foster likely (but not certainly, apparently) out for week 3, the Miami backfield will likely be led by Jay Ajayi but he will be heavily spelled by Kenyan Drake with Damien Williams probably mixing in there as well. It’s going to be ugly, but if you’re in a deeper league and need to add someone I would think Ajayi is the way to go. If Foster can go, however, he has serious upside here against the Browns as an RB2 – keep an eye on his health throughout the week.

Vikings @ Panthers

• Sam Bradford performed admirably in his first start for the Vikings, and has revitalized the Vikings’ passing attack, making him an interesting QB2 with some upside going forward with Adrian Peterson likely out for a few weeks. Stefon Diggs blew up with Bradford under center, and I like him as a high upside WR2 every week going forward – he has the potential to be a league winner. Kyle Rudolph is also benefitting from the Vikings’ rejuvenated passing attack, and I wouldn’t feel too bad using him as my TE1 for now – 8 targets is as much as you can ask for from a late round TE and he’s done it twice now. With Peterson out, Jerick McKinnon and Matt Asiata will take up rushing duties. McKinnon is my favorite, with passing down ability and great athletic measurables, he is the upside pick out of the two. Asiata is a plodder who will get goal line looks, and might vulture some TDs from McKinnon to steal some upside. This week is preferably a wait and see, but if you got hurt at RB this past weekend you may not have a choice – I’d roll out McKinnon if I had to.
• Cam Newton is an every week QB1, though this defense has shown itself to be tough. Regardless, with his rushing floor Newton is always a must start. Kelvin Benjamin should continue to turn in great numbers as he has been, he’s a WR2 with WR1 upside. Greg Olsen is the TE1 so far this season and obviously you should keep rolling him out. Wow this Panthers offense is good huh? The running backs leave something to be desired, though. With Jonathan Stewart out this backfield turns into a Fozzy Whittaker, Cameron Artis-Payne, Mike Tolbert casserole. Gross. Although Whittaker played well in Stewart’s absence, Coach Rivera called him “chance of pace” in interviews. Regardless, I think Whittaker is probably the best grab out of the backfield as he has shown the most on the field. Don’t go blowing your waiver priority over any of these backs.

Cardinals @ Bills

• Carson Palmer is showing up this season once again as a consistent QB1, that trend should continue against the lowly Bills defense. Larry Fitzgerald has been absolutely on fire and I cannot deny his every week WR1 upside, especially in this matchup. David Johnson is likewise an every week RB1; even against the Bucs tough run defense he made tacklers miss and gained yards after contact. Michael Floyd is the next man up, and is merely a flex play as the offense funnels through its greatest playmakers. John Brown has fallen out of fantasy relevance barring an injury to someone ahead of him. Chris Johnson’s performance as the game wound down last week shows he’s still the handcuff to own for DJ.
• Tyrod Taylor rebounded on Thursday Night Football, albeit in a fluky way – his points came on lucky deep passes that happened to go for touchdowns. However, the coaching staff canned OC Greg Roman apparently because they want to throw more so he may be worth holding onto as your QB2 in order to wait and see what happens. Passing more would certainly be good for Sammy Watkins but it won’t help if he can’t get over his foot injury; it would be best to wait, if you can, and see how Sammy is dealing with this injury in week 3 before starting him. If Sammy cannot regain form, Greg Salas and/or Marquise Goodwin would become the beneficiaries of the increased passing attack, and might become the waiver pickups of week 4. LeSean McCoy continues to receive a good workload, as well as plenty of targets in the passing game – he is an every week RB2, but this matchup will be very tough for him, expect numbers on the lower side of his range. Charles Clay is a TE streamer with low upside, which I prefer to avoid.

Broncos @ Bengals

• Trevor Siemian remains a low end QB2 whose ceiling is capped due to the run first nature of this team. Demaryius Thomas in spite of his injury, put up solid numbers; it seems he can play through it, and I’d fire him up as a WR2 this week. Emmanuel Sanders disappointed despite receiving 8 targets, but I think better weeks are ahead; for now, feel comfortable starting him as your WR3. Virgil Green got only 3 targets last week, and will be playing coming off a calf injury; I’d look for more in your streaming TE. CJ Anderson remains a rare every down back, going over 20 carries in two games straight. Fire him up as a sure fire RB1.
• Andy Dalton has been producing consistent QB1 numbers so far this season, but Denver will present a real challenge as a very tough defense, I would downgrade him this week. AJ Green got bottled up by division rival Pittsburgh in week 2, but I don’t think that will be the case again at home. Every week Green has the chance to win you your match up, he’s an every week starter. Jeremy Hill will struggle in this tough matchup against the Broncos and I wouldn’t want to start him this week; there is always the chance of a goal line TD a la Frank Gore last week, but the yardage won’t be there. Giovani Bernard had himself a great game last week where the traditional run game was not working, and I’d expect that to continue against Denver with Hill again struggling; fire him up as an RB2, particularly in PPR formats. Brandon LaFell is a desperation flex. CJ Uzomah is an intriguing pick who was fed red zone targets last week; they clearly want him to be Tyler Eifert. If the red zone targets continue, there will be TDs in Uzomah’s future, and TE is a vulnerability of the Denver D.

Lions @ Packers

• Matt Stafford has been playing quite well in this pass happy offense and I’d expect him to continue at least low end QB1 prediction away from home against the Packers this week. It would be helpful if Packers CB Shields is out once again this week. Marvin Jones has separated himself from the pack as the lead dog in this passing attack and he’s my preferred start in this offense every week as a solid WR2. Golden Tate continues to be targeted but was not efficient at all last week, I would downgrade him to a borderline WR3/flex. Eric Ebron has solidified himself into every week TE1 consideration as a large red zone target in a passing offense. With Ameer Abdullah out with a foot injury Theo Riddick becomes an every week RB2 in PPR, with a slight downgrade in standard formats. Anquan Boldin is a risky flex week in and week out, the targets simply won’t be there most weeks. Dwayne Washington is a potential beneficiary of the Abdullah injury, and might become a hot waiver add if he gets significant carries in his absence and thrives with them. Potential pre-waivers add if you have an extra bench spot.
• Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense haven’t been themselves lately, but I expect a resurgence at home against the Lions. This defense shouldn’t cause any trouble for Packers skill position players. Fire up Aaron Rodgers as a QB1. Jordy Nelson is a high end WR2 with upside, and Randall Cobb should be able to produce at least low end WR2 numbers here. Davante Adams still can’t be trusted in lineups. Eddie Lacy has been the victim of poor game script and tough run defenses but he has actually played well, averaging 4.27 YPC in the first two games. The matchup lightens significantly at home against the Lions, and I think he will put up high end RB2 numbers here.

Raiders @ Titans

• Derek Carr has been a rock solid QB1 through two weeks and I see no reason for that to stop in Week 3, as Tenneesee’s solid run defense promotes the pass. Amari Cooper should, therefore, continue to be fired up as a very good WR2. Michael Crabtree, oft underestimated, is valued as a WR3 but continuously puts up WR2 numbers, he should continue to roll this week. Clive Walford had a good game last week and faces a defense that has given up solid games to Kyle Rudolph and Eric Ebron, so he’s definitely startable in a pinch. Latavius Murray could have trouble against aforementioned tough run D, I would downgrade him to an RB3/low end RB2 in this matchup. • Oakland’s defense has been ransacked the last two weeks, so Marcus Mariota should put up at least low end QB1 numbers in this matchup. Tajae Sharpe and Delanie Walker will both benefit as the top targets in this offense; Tajae is the perfect WR3 and Delanie is a TE1. The thriving pass offense will also help out DeMarco Murray who has been putting up great numbers and is involved in the passing game; he should roll through this Oakland defense to post high end RB2 numbers this week. Owners might consider selling high on him after that, however; his numbers have been salvaged by TDs and one long run last week but his actual running has been lackluster and he’s starting to cede some carries to Derrick Henry. Next week at Houston will be tough and I don’t think his value gets any higher than after week 3.

Rams @ Buccaneers

• After Seattle last week, Todd Gurley gets an easier matchup in Tampa Bay, however, the Tampa Bay defense is best at eliminating the run. They won’t respect the passing abilities of Case Keenum, nor should they, and I expect another frustrating RB3 type game for Gurley as the Rams struggle to get anything done on offense. Please do not start or roster any other Rams.
• Jameis Winston got brutalized by the Cardinals last week, no denying it, but the Cardinals are very, very good. The Rams are decidedly bad. I expect a good offense like the Bucs to roll all over them. Fire up Winston as a QB1 this week at home. Mike Evans managed 19 PPR points against Patrick Peterson, which is very impressive to me and confirms his WR1 status. His volume was insane, which is great, and his inefficiency can’t really be blamed on him, as many of the incomplete passes sailed well over his head. Charles Sims could be the featured three down back with Doug Martin potentially out with an injury. He struggled against the Cardinals, but so did the entire offense. I like Sims as an RB2 play this week in all formats, with a bump in PPR, as long as Doug Martin is out. Vincent Jackson looks washed up out there and he can be dropped if you’re still holding on. No tight end can be trusted on the offense, too much of a workload split.

49ers @ Seahawks

• Blaine Gabbert had a solid game in garbage time against the Panthers last week, but that would be hard to bet on happening again, although I could see him as a desperation start in 2QB leagues. Carlos Hyde was bottled up by Carolina and the matchup doesn’t get easier against the Seahawks at home – he is an RB3 at best. Vance McDonald has lucked out on TD production through two weeks but his concerning lack of targets is keeping me away. Maybe his production will earn him a larger role? No telling. The wide receivers, Jeremy Kerley, Torrey Smith, and Quinton Patton are not startable as there is no predicting who will get the volume week to week, at least not yet.
• The Seattle offense has not looked… good through the first two weeks of the season. Russell Wilson has, correspondingly, not looked good. Part of this may be his ankle injury, which he has another week to heal. Owners likely have little choice but to fire him up in what should be a cake matchup at home – he SHOULD produce QB1 numbers here. Doug Baldwin is the clear top target and should be able to put up WR2 numbers despite last week’s dud. Tyler Lockett has undeniable big play ability, but his workload and the state of the offense is concerning, he is a risky WR3. Jermaine Kearse is definitely involved in the offense, but is no more than a risky flex. With Thomas Rawls injured, Christine Michael should have command of the backfield for the entire game. I would expect high end RB3 numbers with upside; holding him back is Seattle’s offensive line, which is terrible. Jimmy Graham is coming along but the offense is too anemic to support him yet, I wouldn’t start him.

Steelers @ Eagles

• Ben Roethlisberger’s home/road splits are concerning, so I downgrade him slightly in this matchup to low/mid range QB1, but that didn’t stop him from posting solid numbers against Washington in week 1 on the road. Antonio Brown is still a WR1, don’t let last week fool you, divisional rivalries just get weird. DeAngelo Williams is on fire and must be started again – enjoy those points for one last week folks. Big Ben loves his tight ends and Jesse James has the targets and production for mid range TE1 consideration each week. It seemed Ben was throwing deep bombs at Sammie Coates all game (he got 5 targets and caught 2 of them for 97 yards). I wouldn’t be starting him. Eli Rogers completely disappeared despite some Sunday morning hype about an “expanded role”. With Markus Wheaton returning soon, there is little to hope for with Rogers and I’d be dropping if you have him.
• Carson Wentz impressed for the second week in a row in real life football, but only put up so-so fantasy numbers last week – he remains a QB2 for fantasy purposes. Jordan Matthews continued to receive large volume and in this possibly pass heavy game, he is a solid WR2 with a lot of upside. Ryan Mathews is definitely the Eagles’ confirmed goal line back after notching two scores last week; he was also held out somewhat out of concern for a minor practice injury. He’s an RB2 until further notice. Nelson Agholor has received a good number of targets from Wentz, and wouldn’t be the worst flex option in a potential shootout. Trey Burton suddenly burst onto the fantasy scene with 7 targets for 5 catches and a TD – he’s a risky but potentially lucrative TE streamer while he fills in for Zach Ertz. I wouldn’t start Darren Sproles, even in PPR leagues.

Jets @ Chiefs

• Ryan Fitzpatrick should produce his usual high end QB2 numbers here in this matchup. Matt Forte is looking like the steal of most drafts at his ADP and is a total workhorse with RB1 upside every week. Brandon Marshall has some sort of MCL issue, but may play through it – if he does, he’ll be a WR2. Eric Decker AKA Mr. Consistency, is dealing with a shoulder issue, but if he plays he is the perfect WR2 in terms of every week production. With both top Jets receivers a little banged up though, Quincy Enunwa could have an excellent game ahead of him. He has established himself as Fitzpatrick’s safety valve and particularly in PPR he has shown consistent production and is worthy of some very serious WR3/Flex consideration.
• Alex Smith got totally trounced last week, but should bounce back to his usual consistent QB2 numbers this week. Jeremy Maclin has been receiving excellent volume so far, with somewhat limited success (still solid WR2 numbers in PPR) but I think that volume has to translate to more success soon, and it could come this week. Keep starting him confidently as your WR2. Travis Kelce is a big part of this offense and will continue to be an every week TE1. Things will get messy in the backfield if Jamaal Charles returns. If he does, I expect a big split with him and Spencer Ware receiving most of the work, and Charcandrick West getting the leftovers. In that scenario, Ware and Charles would each be RB3s. If Charles sits, Ware is an RB2.

Chargers @ Colts

• Philip Rivers seemed fine last week against Jacksonville, even without the benefit Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead – his next few games against IND, NO and OAK make him a must start QB1 for the better part of the next month. Travis Benjamin operated as the Chargers new WR1 and he thrived in the role. Tyrell Williams is the new WR2, and was similarly productive. Benjamin is a WR2, and Williams a WR3, for the next three weeks at least in these very juicy matchups. Melvin Gordon should also thrive with the rest of the offense, particularly with Woodhead out of the picture; he has ascended to RB1 status thanks to injuries around him. Antonio Gates looks more TD dependent than ever, turning 3 catches into just 15 yards. Age may be catching up with him and I’d feel nervous starting him banking on a TD for most/all of his production.
• Andrew Luck should be back to his usual QB1 ways against the Chargers leaky defense. Frank Gore gets the benfit of facing one of the league’s weakest run defenses as well, and as the sole back of note in his backfield, he should be able to turn in RB2 numbers. With Donte Moncrief likely out, TY Hilton will likely be covered by Jason Verrett, making him a mere WR3 play. I believe Phillip Dorsett will pick up the slack of the other two receivers and have a nice day – consider him a high upside WR3. Jack Doyle and Dwayne Allen should also see more looks, but they’ll be tough to trust.

Bears @ Cowboys

• Jay Cutler is likely to be out at least a week with a thumb injury, so Brian Hoyer will probably get the start. Definitely don’t start either of them. This is meaningless for Alshon Jeffery, however, as Hoyer knows how to hone in on a #1 WR, as Josh Gordon and DeAndre Hopkins well know. Keep using Jeffery as a WR1, his team will put him in excellent game scripts to rack up garbage time points a la 2015 Allen Robinson. Eddie Royal has hilariously been the most productive WR on his team through 2 weeks, he’ll be a risky flex play in deeper leagues – I doubt that he and Hoyer have the same chemistry as he does with Cutler. Kevin White doesn’t appear likely to have a breakout this season – do not start him, and hold only if you’re a believer. Jeremy Langford appears dangerously close to losing his job – I wouldn’t start him, his workload is in too much jeopardy. Owners would be wise to grab shares of Jordan Howard before that ship sails. You can do better than Zach Miller.
• Dak Prescott remains a QB2, but thankfully for fantasy purposes he rediscovered his WR1 Dez Bryant in week 2. Bryant will be a high end WR2 against the Bears. Ezekiel Elliott continues to get the kind of workload reserved for RB1s and he should have a good game here against the mostly hospitalized Bears defense – not concerned about his “benching”. Cole Beasley is a favorite of Prescott, and has earned PPR Flex consideration. Jason Witten is a lower end TE1 in a fairly neutral matchup – his volume took a major hit when Dez was rediscovered. Alfred Morris is a must own handcuff.

Falcons @ Saints

• Matt Ryan is most definitely a QB1 in this matchup against the Saints on Monday night. He has been on absolute fire to start the season and it’s fair to wonder if we underestimated him. He should keep rolling for a third week, at least. Julio Jones is as ever an every week WR1. Mohamed Sanu will be a boom or bust WR3 option all season as the guy opposite Julio, but you’ve gotta like his odds for success against this Saints defense. Jacob Tamme with 8 targets in each game so far, has entered TE1 consideration, especially considering the matchup this week. Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman are obviously in a true split; receptions, goal line looks, it’s all shared. Coleman has looked better, and so if forced to choose I’d go with him. Both are solid flex plays with RB2 upside in this nice matchup.
• Drew Brees should bounce back to QB1 numbers in this Monday night shoot out. Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead are about even as high upside WR2s on this pass happy team. As third on the totem pole, Michael Thomas is a less appealing flex. Mark Ingram will be a high end RB2 against the Falcons’ atrocious run defense. Coby Fleener cannot be trusted in any capacity and I wouldn’t fault owners for dropping him for better prospects.
Thanks for reading! As always feel free to leave your questions in the comments all week. I am a fantasy degenerate and am more than happy answering questions about it all the time.
If you enjoyed this consider checking out this thread about the Fantasy Collective, a fantasy team drafted and managed by the popular vote of redditors like yourself. We’re setting our lineup today so just pop in, vote for who you would start, and you’re done!
Best of luck to all in Week 3!

PRO-TIP: CTRL+F the players you care about

Accountability Section

I think it’s important to look back at the previous week and see what I got right and what I got wrong, so you guys know you’re not reading advice from a complete sham. Here are the major things I was able to gather:
What I got wrong:
• Adrian Peterson: He unexpectedly bombed when the Titans were able to stop him by stacking the box. Perhaps it was because Shaun Hill is not a threatening passer. Peterson has dealt with stacked boxes before so it is a bit concerning long term. Either way, I was WAY off, predicting RB1 numbers for the veteran RB.
• Todd Gurley: Another case of talented back meets stacked box. Gurley and AP are in similar situations; they’re very talented, with bad quarterbacks who defenses do not respect. I also predicted RB1 numbers for Gurley and that couldn’t have been further from the truth.
• The Panthers Offense: I overestimated the Denver defense and underestimated Cam Newton and Kelvin Benjamin. I won’t make that mistake again; Kelvin looks like he’s back in a big way. I was right about Olsen as a solid TE1 and Jonathan Stewart as a poor start, however.
• Danny Woodhead: I said he would fair very poorly against the Kansas City Chiefs, as he has done in the past, but Woodhead scorched them, getting 20+ carries and large passing volume for one of the highest RB scores of the week. I was very, very wrong and I won’t be underestimating Woodhead again. With Allen done for the season, he’s a large part of this offense going forward.
• Tyrod Taylor: I said he had a safe floor, yeesh, so much for that. The Ravens shut him down and it’s now quite obvious that he is not a good fantasy start with Watkins not at 100%.
What I got right:
• Jordan Matthews: I predicted him as a high upside WR2/3 against the Browns. I like him even more now after seeing that volume.
• Barnidge and Walker: I predicted target share reductions for Gary Barnidge and Delanie Walker as a result of their morphing offenses and I was correct, although I still recommended them as starts. I didn’t think their target shares would decrease THAT much!
• Charles Sims: He didn’t hit his ceiling, but Sims did show off that very valuable flex floor I talked about in my first write up. He even caught a touchdown and put his low-end RB2 numbers! Not too shabby, Sims.
• Jameis Winston: I said he’d put up QB1 numbers this week, which I don’t think was a particularly popular opinion going into the matchup. He certainly did that. I love the Buccaneers offense going forward, even going into their tough pre-bye schedule.
• Isaiah Crowell: One of my most controversial picks of the weeks, I said Crowell would put up Flex to RB2 type numbers, and by God, he did it! Crowell finished as the RB16 on the week in PPR.
Now there was obviously a lot more that I got wrong, and a lot more that I got right, but those felt notable to me. There are always going to be hits and misses in fantasy analysis and I’ll always try to explain my reasoning. I hope nobody got too badly burned by any of my advice last week, and I especially hope it was helpful to some of you. With that being said, let’s get into the week’s matchups:

Jets @ Bills

• Ryan Fitzpatrick should continue to be a serviceable QB2 in this matchup against a team that made the shambling corpse of Mike Wallace look good last week. I like Brandon Marshall to rebound well from his disappointing week 1 showing and put up the low end WR1 numbers we were expecting. Eric DeckerAKA “Mr. Consistency” is as always a great WR2 play, and he should perform better than last week – he was targeted 7 times but only hauled in 2 catches. Quincy Enunwa made a great case for himself, tying Brandon Marshall for a team-high 8 targets – he is an intriguing waiver add and flex play.
• One major fact we learned from week 1 is that the split between Matt Forte and Bilal Powell was probably overblown. Forte operated as a workhorse, and is an RB1 for the foreseeable future on workload alone. Powell’s status diminishes to very low-end flex/handcuff status.
• I was going to write that we shouldn’t overreact to Week 1’s very bad no good Tyrod Taylor performance. However, with news that Sammy Watkins is dealing with serious pain in his foot, this whole offense takes a downgrade. Without Watkins’ playmaking ability, Taylor will be no more than a low end QB2. If he’s your every week starter in a 1QB league, it’s time to look to the waiver wire. Sammy Watkins was a good rebound candidate after a disappointing week 1, but with this news I would downgrade him to a boom or bust WR3. Start safer options if you can until he’s proved himself. I wouldn’t want to start Robert Woods or Charles Clay under most circumstances - as second and third passing options on a run-first offense, their good weeks will be difficult to predict and few and far between.
• LeSean McCoy was the lone solid fantasy start for the Bills, and he should continue to be a solid start as the workhorse on a run-first team. There is, however, legitimate concern that defenses stack the box on him without Watkins as a downfield threat, and this could seriously hurt McCoy’s efficiency. If Watkins does play, however, his mere presence should improve things for McCoy. McCoy will be more of an RB2 against a stout Jets run defense either way. Mike Gillislee is his handcuff.

Cowboys @ Redskins

• Dak Prescott was not asked to do many fantasy-productive things on Sunday, rushing only twice and throwing mostly checkdowns. This prevented him from throwing interceptions as intended, but also kept him from scoring any touchdowns. It’s obvious the Cowboys want to play to their strengths and be a run-first team with first round pick Ezekiel Elliott who received 20 attempts and can be fired up as an RB1 against a weak Redskins run defense. This development is concerning for Dez Bryant who received only 5 targets. It’s not time to panic yet, but Bryant’s skill set does not mesh with what the Cowboys want to do right now. Jason Witten performed well as he usually does against Giants – he is a low end TE1. Cole Beasly got a whopping 12 targets and with Prescott throwing so many checkdowns, there is potential for it to keep up. Beasly is a potential season-long flex play if things keep going to plan for the Cowboys.
• Kirk Cousins didn’t look good Monday night, throwing poorly for no touchdowns and two interceptions. It’s not a good sign for those who drafted Cousins late as a bargain QB1, but the good news is QB is so deep you should be able to find a good replacement! Cousins is no more than a QB2 going forward. DeSean Jackson drew 10 targets and made good use of them, going for over 100 yards. He’ll have a tougher time this week against the Cowboys who are hard on the passing game, and is a boom or bust WR3. Jamison Crowder interestingly received just as many targets as Jackson, but wasn’t able to do nearly as much with them – he is a WR4/deep league flex. Pierre Garcon was also involved in the passing game but will only be a desperation flex in this tougher matchup. Jordan Reed was targeted a team high 11 times and is the best TE in football with Rob Gronkowski out – he’s your every week TE1 as long as he’s healthy. Matt Jones looked dreadful, receiving only 7 carries which he turned in 24 scoreless yards – the Redskins basically abandoned the run game. It makes Chris Thompson a much more intriguing option, particularly in PPR leagues – he was more involved when the Redskins needed to play catchup. Jones is a flex play against a weak Cowboys run defense, as is Chris Thompson in PPR formats.

Chiefs @ Texans

• Alex Smith is a rock solid QB2 because of his rushing floor who will occasionally turn in great performances like last week. Jeremy Maclin turned in a solid week 1 for owners despite a tougher matchup, he is the quintessential high-end WR2. The other top option in Kansas City’s passing game, Travis Kelce, is an every-week TE1 on volume. Chris Conley receiving 7 targets (as many as Kelce and Maclin) is surprising – he’s not worth an add yet but keep an eye out, he is a talented deep threat.
• Spencer Ware is so crazy good. He showed off his impressive receiving abilities and was totally gameflow-proof. Without Charles he’s an every week RB1. Even when Jamaal Charles returns, Ware has earned a significant chunk of the carries. Charles and Ware will likely become RB2s in this split, but I’d favor the younger RB without health issues. When Charles does return Charcandrick West will likely be fully put in the backup role.
• The Texan’s offense looks as good as advertised against the Bear’s lowly defense, but they will all face a tougher matchup against Kansas City. Brock Osweiler will be a mid to low end QB2 in week 2. DeAndre Hopkins is an every week WR1 with his talent. Hopkins owners shouldn’t worry about Will Fuller receiving more targets, it will happen from time to time but Fuller is a boom or bust WR3. Not to say Fuller doesn’t have value, he has GREAT value, and should be the number one waiver claim if he’s available. Osweiler clearly loves to throw to him. Lamar Miller operated as a clear workhorse, toting the ball 28 times against the Bears, and as a result of this rare workload he should be considered an RB1 even in the tougher matchup.

Bengals @ Steelers

• With only one threatening weapon, Andy Dalton is a mid to high end QB2 in most matchups. That one threatening weapon, AJ Green, is the guy you really want. Showing that the offseason speculation about his ridiculous workload was justified, AJ Green caught 12 of 13 targets whilst on a visit to Revis Island. He’s a WR1 in any matchup, and may wind up THE WR1 if things keep up. Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd are picking up the leftovers in the passing game, and LaFell looked like the most efficient of the two. LaFell would be a low end flex, and Boyd is safely droppable.
• Jeremy Hill will be a threat to score a goal line TD any given week, and as such he is a high end flex/RB3, but his efficiency and matchup against the Steelers leave much to be desired. Giovani Bernard was surprisingly less involved in the Bengals offensive plan against the Jets than expected. The Steelers are a better matchup for him than Hill, but I would qualify him as a flex play.
• The Big Three, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, and DeAngelo Williams (for now) showed how good they are against the Redskins Monday night. Each of them are in the first tier of their respective positions this week against Cincinnati. Eli Rogers made a case for himself as the Steelers’ WR2 and is worth a pickup in deeper leagues just in case, but with Markus Wheaton coming back, and Sammie Coates still vying for his chance, it’s getting a bit muddy for my tastes. Jesse James looks like a decent TE1, getting enough targets, and with plenty of chances in the red zone thanks to the Steelers’ explosive offense. If you need a TE1 replacement, grab him up.

49ers @ Panthers

• Blaine Gabbert gets the Panthers this week, and it’s gonna be a disaster. The one fantasy positive on this team in PPR formats, Jeremy Kerley should rack up checkdown targets and make a case for himself as a strong PPR flex – he is one of my top waiver adds this week. Chip Kelly uses the slot receiver heavily. Torrey Smith looks done – he does not play to Gabbert’s talents. Carlos Hyde had a great week against the horrible, awful, no good Rams, but rarely will the 49ers ever be up by multiple scores again this season. That will certainly not be the case against the Panthers. Game flow will render Hyde an RB3, and bring Shaun Draughn in for more passing downs, though I wouldn’t flex him until we see how the targets shake out this week – it could all go to Kerley. Vance MCdonald was able to catch a touchdown, but was otherwise pretty uninvolved. I think his role may increase in future weeks and the touchdown means he’s viable as a streamer.
• Cam Newton draws the easiest matchup on paper against the 49ers. He should be a huge part of both this game getting out of hand, as well as running out the clock once the 49ers fate is sealed. He is, as ever, a QB1. Kelvin Benjamin showed last week that he’s still a WR1, and if he can do it against the Broncos he should have no trouble against the 49ers. Greg Olsen is an every week TE1 as a critical part of this offense. Jonathan Stewart gets a much better matchup than last week and can be trusted as an RB2 who will help run out the clock.

Ravens @ Browns

• The Browns defense looked pitiful last week, so we’re gonna want to start some Ravens this week. Joe Flacco goes from QB2 to low-end QB1 with the plus matchup. Steve Smith, though quiet last week, received the most targets (9) on the team, but was inefficient with them. Those targets should translate to production against the Browns, and I’d feel alright about starting him in the WR3/Flex positions in a boom or bust capacity. Mike Wallace also impressed on his 6 targets, showing more efficiency than Steve Smith, putting him in the flex range against the Browns. Kamar Aiken looked uninvolved last week and is safely droppable.
• Justin Forsett and Terrance West formed a near even split last week and I would expect that to continue. Getting 10 and 12 carries respectively, I would consider them flexable against the Browns but their upsides are each capped by the other.
• Welp, unfortunately Robert Griffin III was injured Week 1, so Josh McCown will now be leading the charge for the Browns’ offense – and it’s not necessarily a bad thing. It’s an especially nice boost for Gary Barnidge who thrived with McCheckdown in 2015, owners can feel more confident rolling him out as their TE1. Terrelle Pryor and Corey Coleman remain boom or bust WR3s; it will be interesting to see how the targets shake out with McCown under center.
• Duke Johnson should also benefit from McCown’s checkdowns in PPR formats – he’s a Flex option against the Ravens.Isaiah Crowell performed fairly well against the Eagles, but I like his outlook slightly less this week against a tougher opponent. He is a touchdown dependent RB3.

Titans @ Lions

• Marcus Mariota was serviceable for fantasy purposes against the tough Vikings D, so I like his odds against the defensively inferior Lions. The Lions also have a good offense that could drive the score up on the Titans, forcing Mariota to throw the ball. That’s good news for rookie Tajae Sharpe, who led the team in targets by a wide margin operating as their WR1. Sharpe is a solid WR3/Flex play this week. Delanie Walker did suffer the predicted volume reduction as a result of new additions Sharpe, Rishard Matthews and Andre Johnson. I would give him another chance as your TE1 in this plus matchup, but that is as far as I’d go with the Titans’ passing game.
• DeMarco Murray is, for now, in command of this run-first offense backfield over Derrick Henry, which is very good news for Murray’s fantasy owners. He rushed 13 times to Henry’s 5, and was targeted in the passing game 7 times to Henry’s 2. Henry is a great handcuff, but flex value is a stretch right now. Murray, on the other hand, is an every week RB2 with a nice floor thanks to his involvement in the passing game.
• Matt Stafford will continue to excel in this offensive scheme in this matchup. The Titans defense doesn’t scare me. I’m rolling out Marvin Jones and Golden Tate as upside WR3s, with preference to Jones who received deeper targets. The Titans defense is good at stopping the run, so I don’t feel good about Ameer Abdullah this week, but given his play last week I think he’s earned RB3/flex consideration. Same goes for Theo Riddick who is a solid flex in PPR. Eric Ebron looks quite involved in the offense and is a nice lower end TE1 play; with his size he should be used in the red zone.

Dolphins @ Patriots

• This should be quick because there are only three fantasy relevant Dolphins. Ryan Tannehill is a mid-to-low end QB2 with Jarvis Landry, a solid PPR WR2, his only dependable receiver. Arian Foster looked good against the Seahawks and I expect him to put up solid RB2 numbers for as long as he’s healthy – start him while you’ve got him.
• Jimmy Garoppolo functioned well as a real life football player in Week 1 but will remain only a QB2 for fantasy purposes. Julian Edelman and Chris Hogan served as New England’s top two receivers in terms of offensive snaps played. Edelman is a WR2 until Brady returns, and Hogan is a prime bench stash or desperation flex play. Danny Amendola is either warming up from his injury or is less involved in the offense this season, I wouldn’t trust him. Rob Gronkowski will likely be out another week and yet Martellus Bennett primarily served as a blocker last week. Bennett will be difficult to trust as the Patriots are targeting their WRs for now with Brady out.
• The Patriots should dominate this game, so it figures to be a LeGarrette Blount type of game. I like him for RB2 numbers, with a pretty good shot at the end zone. James White should also be involved, albeit less so than in close games – he’s a flex play in PPR leagues.

Saints @ Giants

• This game has definite shootout appeal because it involves Drew Brees and the ever generous New Orleans defense. Brees is an obvious QB1 but what about his receivers? Well, once again, I would start (almost) everyone I can. Brandin Cooks is an obvious WR1. Willie Snead exploded last week in a very good way but I don’t think anyone is ready to anoint him a WR1 yet – a WR2 though, with upside? Absolutely. Mark Ingram is still an RB1 play against the Giants despite a lackluster performance Week 1 – it remains to be seen if Travaris Cadet’s targets in the passing game will stick or if they were merely a fluke consequence of Brees spreading the ball around. Coby Fleener had a disastrous and concerning week 1, but this is still a great matchup. As an owner myself, I’m treating this as a second and final chance for him to get things going in this prolific offense – start a safer option if possible, but don’t drop him yet. Michael Thomas is a flex play in this offense where anybody could explode – the 6 targets last week weren’t bad either.
• With three solid wide receiver options to throw the ball too Eli Manning is looking more and more like a true QB1 this season. Odell Beckham is an automatic WR1 start – the Cowboys just proved last week that they are offensive kryptonite with their clock killing playstyle, which slowed Beckham down. Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard received 4 targets apiece, which should increase in this shootout, and each caught a touchdown. Both are viable flex plays this week. I don’t see too much value in the tight end situation between Larry Donnell and Will Tye but I suppose you could take a shot on one if truly desperate in a deep league.
• Rashad Jennings should be able to get more going this week against the Saints putrid defense. I like him as an RB2 in this contest. Shane Vereen will come into play when the Giants are down and is passable as a low end flex.

Buccaneers @ Cardinals

• The Buccaneers begin their nightmare schedule against the Cardinals at home. Jameis Winston becomes a high end QB2 against this very tough defense. Mike Evans will be covered heavily by Patrick Peterson which will impact his floor and ceiling – Evans is still a good WR2 play on the basis of volume and talent. Vincent Jackson was targeted just as much as Evans, but did not look nearly as good – he is not even a flex play in this tough matchup. Despite the TD, Austin Seferian-Jenkins is in a muddled timeshare with fellow TEs Brandon Myers and Cameron Brate. I would have a hard time trusting any Buccaneer TE.
• Doug Martin received the heavy workload we were all hoping for and that should continue in week 2. Roll him out as a nice RB2 this week. Charles Sims showed off his tackle breaking ability and safe flex floor last week, and that will continue in this game. Start him safely as a flex with upside for more if the Buccaneers go down hard early and need to pass.
• Carson Palmer proved me wrong in Week 1 and turned in a solid QB1 performance in Week 1, and I expect it to continue against an easier opponent in Week 2. With this array of weapons, it is hard to deny Palmer will be good most of the season. Larry Fitzgerald laughs in the face of time and dominated against the Patriots last week, he will be a low end WR1 this week. Michael Floyd was the next WR up for the Cardinals, and makes for a rock solid WR3 play. John Brown played significantly last snaps than Fitzgerald and Floyd, and is a low end flex play at best. David Johnson is a beautiful unicorn of an every-down back and you’ve gotta start him as an RB1 every week.

Seahawks @ Rams

• The Rams usually keep these divisional games interesting but Russell Wilson is a QB1 regardless. Doug Baldwin is in play as a WR2 as the most targeted player on the team by far. Tyler Lockett was the next most targeted player in the passing game, but his role is still uncertain – he’s a risky WR3. Jermaine Kearse was the third passing option for Seattle and not one that I’m interested in for fantasy purposes. Jimmy Graham can still not be trusted coming off of his patellar tendon injury. Thomas Rawls started the second half of week 1 and became more involved. Pete Carroll said after the game that Rawls’ workload is clear to be increased. This spells the likely end of the Awakening of Christine Michael barring an injury to Rawls. Rawls will be an RB2 against the Rams and Michael would be a risky flex.
• I have never seen a scene as gruesome as the one I witnessed on Monday night. Case Keenum looked clueless, and the offense looked uninterested in winning as the Rams went for punt after punt after INT after punt after INT after punt. Some people think Todd Gurley will bounce back – I’m legitimately concerned about his chances of doing so. Gameflow is going to be a huge hindrance on his performance, and defenses will stack the box on him if Keenum continues to be under center. I’m not so sure Jared Goff or Sean Mannion would improve things over Keenum either. It is truly worrying and I would only feel safe starting Gurley as my RB3 against a much tougher Seahawks defense. There is no way you can consider starting any Rams passing option for the foreseeable future. May God have mercy on their souls.

Jaguars @ Chargers

• Blake Bortles draws a nice matchup against the Chargers who just got lit up by Alex Smith – he’s a QB1 this week. Allen Robinson, as always, is an elite WR1 start, and you can expect good things in this matchup (EDIT: as noted by space_is_fun Robinson may be covered by CB Jason Verrett, which should negatively impact his floor and ceiling, but I still like him to produce WR2 numbers with upside). In a potential shootout Allen Hurns will be a solid WR3/Flex as a threat to enter the end zone. Monitor his injury situation, but if he suits up you can feel good about starting Julius Thomas as your TE1. Although inefficient in Week 1, TJ Yeldon gets one of the worst defenses against the run and should put up good RB2 fantasy numbers once again this week as long as Chris Ivory is held out as expected.
• Philip Rivers is just not playing at his ceiling without Keenan Allen and I can’t endorse him as more than a low-end QB1 without him. However, other members of this offense will see their roles increase. Antonio Gates sees his already considerable redzone upside increase a bit, so fire him up as a TE1 with as good a chance as anyone to score a TD. Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams will see the biggest boost out of the receiving corps. Benjamin is the early favorite for a production increase but I believe Williams is the one you want to own in the end; he has the size and athletic ability to become special if things work out. Danny Woodhead should see 2015 levels of production once more; he was involved heavily in Week 1 even when the Chargers were up. Woodhead is a boom or bust RB2, much like in 2015. Woodhead nearly doubled Melvin Gordon’s snap count in week 1, which is concerning for Gordon’s outlook. If Gordon is not the primary back when the Chargers have a lead (not the case Week 1) it will be hard to trust him outside of an RB3/flex capacity.

Falcons @ Raiders

• Another game with shootout potential, I like Matt Ryan’s chances at QB1 numbers in this game throwing to a nice array of weapons. Julio Jones is an every-week WR1. Mohamed Sanu if active, looks worthy of low-end WR2, definite WR3/Flex consideration with his impressive 8 targets. Jacob Tamme received the kind of volume (8 targets) that makes for decent TE streamers in good matchups like this one. Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman are in the throes of a full blown RBBC, and who does better in any given week is anyone’s guess at this point; Coleman has the hot hand right now. Both are excellent flexes and low floor RB2s.
• Derek Carr will benefit from yet another high scoring game to put up QB1 numbers. Amari Cooper should, like Mike Evans a week ago, put up WR1 numbers against the Falcons. Michael Crabtree is an underrated bet to put up solid WR2 numbers, even if followed by Trufant he will get the volume to overcome it. Latavius Murray will be a lock for RB2 production with volume on his side. Jalen Richard was a fluke on only 3 carries. Clive Walford is a fringe TE streaming option.

Colts @ Broncos

• Andrew Luck and the Colts get a rough matchup on the road against the Broncos, who should be able to exploit the Colts’ porous offensive line and rough Luck up. I’d prefer to stream decent QBs with better matchups over him this week. That’s bad news for TY Hilton, Donte Moncrief, and Phillip Dorsett in the passing game, though they still hold plenty of value as a WR2, high end flex and low end flex respectively. Dwayne Allen is still a TE1, as the Broncos are surprisingly generous to the tight end position from a fantasy perspective. Frank Gore should get swallowed up by the Denver defense behind that bad o-line, he is a risky RB3.
• Trevor Siemian isn’t anybody you’d ever want to start but he can support fantasy viable receivers. Demaryius Thomas is currently questionable to play coming off of a hip injury, and I’d feel very risky starting him this week unless better news comes out closer to game time; with the news I have now I’d say sit him for better options if you can. Thomas’ loss is Emmanuel Sanders gain however, and he should rack up a ton of targets against the Colts this week for solid WR2 numbers. Virgil Green looks like a favorite of Siemian’s and although he had a mediocre week, he got the requisite targets for a streaming tight end (5) and was also targeted in the end zone. You could do worse for your streamer or fill in. CJ Anderson will continue rolling to RB1 numbers this week against the Colts who couldn’t even contain Ameer Abdullah last week.

Packers @ Vikings

• The Vikings are a tough defense, so expect a middling performance for Aaron Rodgers – although a middling performance from Aaron Rodgers is still a QB1. To give you an idea, he has averaged 17.225 Yahoo standard fantasy points in his last four games against Minnesota. With the offense fully healthy once again, Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb should be locks to produce WR2 numbers. Davante Adams received just two fewer targets than Jordy Nelson last week, and only one fewer than Cobb. He failed to haul in more than half of them but made a catch where it counted in the end zone. He may have taken a step forward since last year and should be on the flex radar if he can keep it up. Eddie Lacy should have no problem racking up solid RB2 numbers week in and week out with the offense running smoothly again. Jared Cook and Richard Rodgers have knocked one another out of fantasy relevancy barring an injury or a breakout; don’t start ‘em til they prove it.
• Shaun Hill is out, Sam Bradford is in. Hopefully it won’t affect Stefon Diggs who was on fire last week with his 9 targets – I believe he is talented enough t o warrant WR3 consideration each and every week. Kyle Rudolph rose from the dead Week 1, finishing as a decent starting TE. If you’re desperate at the position you could do a lot worse if he keeps up his target share. Adrian Peterson had a miserable Week 1, but should bounce back to post at least low end RB2 numbers this week. His lack of involvement in the passing game is concerning, and time may be catching up with him. If that’s the case, there’s little fantasy owners have to hope for in terms of his efficiency improving – so let’s hope it was just a bad week because the defense didn’t respect Shaun Hill. I’ll be watching Jerick McKinnon to see if offseason hype about him holding standalone flex value on third down was legitimate or just smoke.

Eagles @ Bears

• Carson Wentz looked pretty good against the Browns, and is worthy of streamer consideration against the Bears in Week 2. Zach Ertz will be out for some time with a rib injury, and that means Jordan Matthews will be locked into a heavy workload similar to the one he received in Week 1. Matthews is a high upside WR2 in this matchup – volume is king, and he’s talented. Ryan Mathews should have a slightly tougher time this week against the Bears as compared to the Browns; he's still an RB2 on volume however. Darren Sproles is a dual threat as a runner and pass catcher but he was relatively uninvolved last week in favor of Mathews, he’s a low end flex in my book. Nelson Agholor is too unproven with too small a target share for me to trust him in my lineup.
• Jay Cutler is a mid to low end QB2 with only one viable weapon in the passing game. Alshon Jeffery should feast this week with Eagles’ top corner Leodis McKelvin likely out with a hamstring injury – he’s a solid low end WR1. Jeremy Langford operated as a true bellcow in week 1 and we should expect a good week of RB2 production since he’s going against the Eagles who allowed Isaiah Crowell to go for 5.17 YPC. Zach Miller and Kevin White struggled last week, which I don’t anticipate changing here; if anything it solidifies and justifies Alshon’s role as the one true playmaker in this offense.
Thanks for reading! As always feel free to leave your questions in the comments all week. I am a fantasy degenerate and am more than happy answering questions about it all the time.
If you enjoyed this consider checking out this thread about the Fantasy Collective, a fantasy team drafted and managed by the popular vote of redditors like yourself. We’re setting our lineup today so just pop in, vote for who you would start, and you’re done!
Best of luck to all in Week 2!

Champions League Group B Match Day 4
Tuesday November 6th, 2018
Kick Off: 20:00 (GMT), 3:00 PM (EST)
Venue: Wembley Stadium
TV: BT Sport 2 (UK), Bleacher Report Live (US)
Evening Standard Preview
-"Tottenham's Champions League hopes could come to an end as early as matchday 4, with Tuesday night's meeting against PSV Eindhoven already a must-win clash. Spurs have picked up just one point from their opening three Group B games, with a 2-2 draw against PSV last time out particularly damaging as they sit five points behind second-placed Inter Milan and eight behind Barcelona in top spot. Mauricio Pochettino's men must realistically win their remaining three games and hope results go their way elsewhere, and nothing less than three points will do against Mark van Bommel's Dutch champions at Wembley." - Evening Standard
-PSV are currently top of the Eredvisie. On Saturday they beat Vitesse 1-0.
-Here's the match thread from the first leg, a 2-2 draw with our goals coming from Lucas Moura and Harry Kane.
Group B Table

Team	W	D	L	GD	PTS
Barcelona	3	0	0	8	9
Inter Milan	2	0	1	0	6
Tottenham	0	1	2	-3	1
PSV	0	1	2	-5	1

Team News
-Mousa Dembele is still being assessed after he picked up an ankle injury against Wolves, but he is unavailable for this game.
-Hugo Lloris is suspended after his red card in the first leg.
-Eric Dier (thigh), Victor Wanyama (knee), Danny Rose (groin), and Jan Vertonghen (hamstring) are all unavailable due to injury.
COYS

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Weekly Contest!!!

/Panthers Podcast!

• Carolina Panthers VS. Minnesota Vikings : HEAD TO HEAD

CAROLINA	VS.	MINNESOTA
69 Attempts 333 Yards	Rushing	50 Attempts 95 Yards
547 Yards 5 +20 Yard Receptions	Receiving	522 Yards 6 +20 Yard Receptions
110 Total 4 Sacks	Tackles	116 Total 7 Sacks
+1	Turnover Ratio	+5
33	Avg. PPG	21

• [Game Information]

|ESPN Game Center| |:-:|

	Record Against the Spread
CAROLINA PANTHERS	(1-1)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	(2-0)

Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite: CAROLINA by 7
OveUnder: 43
GAME TIME AND LOCATION:
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC - 1:00pm, September 25, 2016
WEATHER FORECAST: Stadium Type: Open Air Temperature: 86°F Forecast: Generally sunny. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.
NFL Broadcast Map
Broadcast Station FOX - Where to Watch
Announcers: Chris Myers and Ronde BarberAGAIN?!fuck
NFL Red Zone - Provider Participation Required
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Broadcast Information
Need A Ticket?
StubHub
Ticketmaster
Head Official Jerome Boger
CAROLINA WILL BE WEARING WHITE JERSEYS.

• NFC SOUTH STANDINGS

NFC SOUTH	W	L	T	PCT	HOME	ROAD	DIV	CONF	PF	PA	DIFF	STRK
TB	1	1	0	0.5	0-0	1-1	1-0	1-1	38	64	-26	L1
CAR	1	1	0	0.5	1-0	0-1	0-0	1-0	66	48	+18	W1
ATL	1	1	0	0.5	0-1	1-0	0-1	0-1	59	59	0	W1
NO	0	2	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	47	51	-4	L2

• New Orleans is facing Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Monday at 8:30 pm.
• Tampa Bay is facing Los Angeles at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday at 4:05pm.

• In the Red Corner: Minnesota Vikings

We were visited by /minnesotavikings this week. They brought with them an exchange of Q&A. This thread ended up being significantly more thorough than your standard "In the Red Corner" blurb so instead of rewriting it.

HERE IS A LINK!

• POLL RESULTS

1) Rate the teams overall performance

• 6 - 12.2%
• 7 - 48.8%
• 8 - 36.6%
• 9 - 2.4%

2) Rate the offense's performance

• 6 - 4.9%
• 7 - 12.2%
• 8 - 36.6%
• 9 - 41.5%

3) Rate the defense's performance

• 4 - 9.8%
• 5 - 4.9%
• 6 - 24.4%
• 7 - 43.9%
• 8 - 14.6%
• 9 - 2.4%

4) Who was your player of the game?

• Cam Newton - 17.1%
• Offensive Line - 17.1%
• Kelvin Benjamin - 53.7%

5) Who was your goat of the game?

• Ted Ginn - 59%
• Kony Ealy - 25.6%
• Kurt Coleman - 15.4%

6) Is Andy Lee worth the 4th round pick?

• Yes - 68.3%
• No - 2.4%
• Maybe - 29.3%

7) What was more impressive?

• Newton throwing for 350 and 4 touchdowns - 22%
• The defense allowing 2.5 yards per carry - 17.1%
• The defense forcing 3 turnovers for the second week in a row - 12.2%
• Kelvin Benjamin. - 48.8%

8) Did you use the IRC channel this week?

• No, not my style - 34.1%
• No I still don't know what it is - 51.2%
• No-one goes there 9.8%

9) Thoughts on /Panthers podcast?

• Haven't heard of it - 55.3%
• I don't listen to podcasts - 34.2%
• The hosts are too busy banging Heel's mom to provide any interesting content. - 7.9%

10) How are the Pre and Post game reports looking this year?

• They look fantastic stop asking us. - 85.4%
• There are still things that could make it better - 9.8%
• They suck, stop doing them - 2.4%
• I like them but sometimes I don't understand what they say - 2.4%

• Players to Watch: Panthers

Cam Newton

Cam is just coming off a MVP season in which he asserted his dominance late into the season. Usually Cam wouldn't be your typical “watch him” player, but we're interested in seeing if he can maintain the momentum he built up last season. 2 weeks in to the 2016 season, he's already showing he's capable of repeating the kind of year he had. Throwing for 5 TDs and running one in, he is intent on scoring at will. While he's credited with 2 interceptions, both came on tipped passes, meaning he's protecting the ball much better. This week he faces his third strong defense in a row. If he succeeds in putting up good numbers again against a Vikings defense that gave Rodgers his lowest grade of his career, then it wouldn't be too much to consider that there's not many teams that can stop this juggernaut.

Fozzy Whittaker

Johnathan Stewart is out. Which means Fozzy will be tasked again with being the next man up. While he had a stellar game last week, one cannot deny that he's a mixed bag. Either he'll come out and run roughshod on the opponent even with limited carries, or he'll fumble his only carry of the game. Much like Cam, Fozzy will be facing a very strong Vikings defense. Even with one of the best offensive lines in the league opening lanes for you, getting past the Vikings linebackers and safeties will be a real test for Fozzy. He'll need to fully perform if he plans on seeing another year in black and blue.

Tre Boston

No amount of mental gymnastics can convince you that Tre has been good so far. He was to step in and instantly give our defense more youth, speed, and skill over an aged Roman Harper. But so far he's been a liability. Poor tackling, bites on bad plays, and can't seem to be in good position. If this is to be his breakout year, he needs to actually breakout. This week he will be expected to help lock down Stefon Diggs. One thing Diggs does well is beat his man, which makes coverage up top that much more important. Bene and Bradberry will have a bad day if Tre doesn't get his game down.

Kawann Short

KK has been quiet thus far. A little too quiet. Maybe we can attribute to having faced 2 decent offensive lines in a row, but that didn't stop him at all last season. It's obvious our pass rush is lacking this year, and it'll never rev up if our premier interior pass rusher is nowhere to be found. The Vikings offensive line is not horrible, but it's not good either. This could be the spark that ignites KK’s season, but only if he can have himself a game. This is vital, especially if Kawann Short is looking for that big money contract.

• What to Watch:

Cam Newton Vs. The Vikings’ Defense

Cam Newton’s 353 yard Week 2 performance against the San Francisco 49ers was the most yards he had passed for in a game since his rookie season and the 4th most in his entire career. Cam has been exceptional since midway through last season and has carved up almost every defense he’s played against. However, through the first 2 weeks of the season the Vikings defense has forced the two worst QB ratings of each week. Whilst Mariota has been fairly inconsistent in his young career, Rodgers is considered the best QB currently playing football and even with his recent struggles has still been capable of scoring in bunches and beating good defenses. Both QBs combined for 45 completions on 77 attempts and 3 TD against the Vikings while the Vikings defense has posted 7 sacks, 2 interceptions, 5 recovered fumbles, a turnover ratio of +5 and 2 defensive touchdowns. While Cam has been playing better than Mariota and Rodgers he will still have his hands full trying to beat such a quick and tenacious defense.

Panthers Defensive Line Vs. Vikings Offensive Line

It’s no secret on Panthers that many people are worried about the production, or lack thereof, from the Panthers defensive line, especially the defensive end position. Through two games the Panthers defense has posted just 4 total sacks, one of which came from Safety Tre Boston. Defensive Tackles Star Lotulelei and Vernon Butler have 1 sack each, leaving just 1 sack for Mario Addison as the sole representative for the defensive end position. Starting DT Kawann Short has gotten off to a slow start after posting 11.0 sacks last season while the starting defensive ends Charles Johnson and Kony Ealy have struggled to put pressure on the QB. On the other side, according to ProFootballFocus, “the Vikings now have three of their linemen rank in the bottom five of their position in PFF grade. Matt Kalil (36.9), Andre Smith (40.0) and Brandon Fusco (38.1) are all struggling badly, and expensive free-agent acquisition Alex Boone (54.2) isn’t much better than hat level.” With the loss of LT Matt Kalil to IR, the Vikings will now be starting a backup lineman who presumably has performed even worse than Kalil. This is likely the best opportunity the Panthers defensive line has had this season to pin their ears back and put pressure on the QB. If they can consistently break up the pocket and force Bradford to scramble or take a sack then the Panthers defense should have a good day. If they can’t put pressure on Bradford we will likely see a repeat performance from Bradford and Diggs as they carve up a young and inexperienced secondary on their way to a high scoring day.

Andy Lee Vs. Jeff Locke

Once again we have an interesting punting battle to watch. Andy Lee burst onto the scene in Denver by setting the franchise record for longest punt and had another fantastic punt downed by rookie Daryl Worley on the 2 yard line in last week’s game against the 49ers. While Lee’s punts in week 2 didn’t rack up similar yardage as they did in Week 1 they served their purpose in keeping Chip Kelly’s offense pinned deep in their own territory. Vikings Punter Jeff Locke was drafted in the 5th round of the 2013 draft and has had his share of struggles since entering the league. However, during last week’s Sunday Night Football game against the Packers Locke put forward arguably his best game ever, downing 5 out of 7 punts inside the 20 yard line and making life difficult for Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the Packers’ offense. In a game featuring two top-flight defenses the field position battle can play an important part in determining the victor and whichever Punter has the better game could earn themselves a game ball.

• Injury Report: CAROLINA PANTHERS

Name	Pos.	Injury	Status
Cash, Jeremy	LB	Hamstring	DNP
Short, Kawann	DT	Shoulder	LP
Stewart, Jonathan	RB	Hamstring	DNP
Turner, Trai	G	Ankle	FP

• Injury Report: Minnesota Vikings

Name	Pos.	Injury	Status
Adrian Peterson	RB	Knee	DNP
Sharrif Floyd	DT	Knee	DNP
Kyle Rudolph	TE	Groin	FP
Danielle Hunter	DE	Knee	FP
Eric Kendricks	LB	Ankle	FP
Xavier Rhodes	CB	Knee	LP
MyCole Pruitt	TE	Knee	LP

Week 3 Picks

• CBS

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/2

	Pete Prisco	Jason LaConfora	Will Brinson	Jared Dubin	Ryan Wilson	John Breech	Dave Richard	Jamey Eisenberg
Record	20-12	19-13	16-16	19-13	20-12	20-12	24-8*	23-9
CAR	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X
MIN

*indicates lead dog

• FOX

http://www.foxsports.com/nfl/story/nfl-expert-picks-predictions-090816

	Chris Chase	Dieter Kurtenbach	Andrew Lynch	Peter Schrager	Brett Smiley	What If Sports
Record	16-16	22-12	24-8*	23-9	21-11	17-15
CAR	X	X	X	X	X	X
MIN

*indicates lead dog

• ESPN

http://www.espn.com/nfl/picks

	Matt Bowen	Adam Caplan	Mike Golic	Dan Graziano	Merril Hoge	Ron Jaworski	KC Joyner	Kevin Seifert	Seth Wickersham
Record	21-11*	19-13	21-11*	18-14	21-11*	20-12	21-11*	20-12	18-14
CAR	X	X	X		X	X	X	X	X
MIN				X

*indicates lead dog

• TOTALS

	CBS	FOX	ESPN	Total
CAROLINA	8	6	8	22
MINNESOTA	0	0	1	1

• NFL Pick Watch

All expert 2016 NFL Picks compared. A free ad-click funded service comparing every analyst at ESPN, Bleacher Report, CBS, FOX, Yahoo!, ProFootballFocus, USA Today, Accuscore, NFL Network, NFL.com, SI.com and more – sorted by season win percentage.

CAROLINA PANTHERS	90%
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	10%

• Top 10 Experts Picks

Rank	Expert	Network	Season Record	%	Pick
1	Andrew Lynch	FOX Sports	24-9	72%
1	Dave Richard	CBS Sports	24-9	72%
1	Sam Farmer	LA Times	24-9	72%
1	Vinnie Iyer	Sporting News	24-9	72%
1	Chris Simms	Bleacher Report	24-9	72%
1	Lorenzo Reyes	USA Today	24-9	72%
2	Joel Thorman	SB Nation	23-10	69%
2	Jamey Eisenberg	CBS Sports	23-10	69%
2	Jeff Ratcliffe	Pro Football Focus	23-10	69%
2	Mike Middlehurst-Schwartz	USA Today	23-10	69%

• Computer Driven Statistical Probabilities

	Amos	Bing	ESPN FPI	Project 538	Microsoft Cortana
Record	18-14	17-15	19-13	20-12	18-14
	81%	74%	68%	66%	74%
	19%	26%	32%	34%	26%

• NFC STANDINGS

Team	Record	Division	Conference	Differential	Reason
New York Giants	2-0	1-0	2-0	+4	Undefeated w/ 2 conf games
Minnesota Vikings	2-0	1-0	1-0	+12	Undefeated with 1 div and conf game
Philadelphia Eagles	2- 0	0-0	1-0	+34	Undefeated with conf game
San Francisco 49ers	1-1	1-0	1-1	+9	Div win
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1	1-0	1-1	-26	Div win
Carolina Panthers	1-1	0-0	1-0	+18	Conf win
Los Angeles Rams	1-1	1-1	1-1	-22	1 of each
Arizona Cardinals	1-1	0-0	1-0	+31	No div win
Dallas Cowboys	1-1	1-1	1-1	+3	They beat the Redskins
Detroit Lions	1-1	0-0	0-0	+3	Didn't lose conf game
Atlanta Falcons	1-1	0-1	0-1	0	Lost div game
Green Bay Packers	1-1	0-1	0-1	+1	Lost div game
Seattle Seahawks	1-1	0-1	0-1	-4	Better diff than Bears
Chicago Bears	0-2	0-0	0-1	-24	No divison loss
New Orleans Saints	0-2	0-1	0-1	-4	They suck but don't have a -26 diff
Washington Redskins	0-2	0-1	0-1	-26	They suck

• (x) Clinched Division
• (z) Clinched Bye
• (y) Clinched Playoff Berth
  
• Quick facts for the conference
  

• IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Below is things you missed.

• GIF Thread
• MS Paint Thread
• Hog Mollies?
• James Bradberry has been good.

Reminder to not go into the Saints or Vikings subreddit after the game on Sunday.

Thanks to the team!
Disclaimer: Any changes that need to be made won't be made until I get a nap, because they were likely caused by me not having a nap. 48 hours is too long to be awake so I'm going to rest and when I come back I'll fix all the little things you guys point out. Keep Pounding!

Quarterbacks

Pos.	Team	Player	Opponent	Last Week	Projection	Comments.........................................
QB	Buccaneers	Judy Abwunza	vs. Broncos	39	26	Judy has been the most pleasant surprise this season. She's in the top elite group of fantasy quarterbacks, and she singled handedly turned the Eagles defense from a feared force into a pushover pansy with her huge game. This week, she gets to face the Broncos who are notorious for giving up a lot of passing yards. Judy will feast again.
QB	Raiders	Eric Lebeaux	vs. Rockets	13	26	The Jaguars were able to shut down Eric in the run game. The Rockets are bad at stopping the pass AND the run. Eric will run free and pass at will. He’s a great fantasy option this week.
QB	Bills	Debra Hannigan	@ Eagles	17	25	Judy Abwunza was just able to tear up the Eagles defense for 39 fantasy points. Debra has a similar skillset to Judy, and could wreak some havoc. I won’t guarantee you 39 points, but Debra should have a fantastic game.
QB	Jets	Steve McNair	@ Pigskins	27	24	This matchup of Jets vs. Pigskins is shaping up to be the game of the week. You already know Steve is cool under pressure and always shows up in big games. This week will be no different.
QB	Jaguars	Sally Dobbs	@ 49ers	15	22	The 49ers have not look very good this year, and Sally is loving the matchup. She’s still a top tier fantasy quarterback, and will have an excellent day out on the field.
QB	Chiefs	Nestor Carpenter	vs. Packers	30	22	Nestor has kicked it into high gear the last couple games, as he’s excelled through the air and on the ground. His dual threat has made him a great fantasy commodity.
QB	Ponies	Colin Freeburg	vs. Cardinals	8	21	Colin hasn’t been able to put up good numbers for a couple weeks. However, Rich Gannon tore apart the Cardinals on Monday night for 5 touchdowns. The Ponies’ passing attack could have similar success here.
QB	Rams	Debby Nagasawa	@ Bengals	27	21	Debby has been keeping it rolling for a while now. The Bengals have not stopped any opposing offenses from rolling. This game has tipped the scales in Debby’s favor.
QB	Packers	Tina Herrara	@ Chiefs	5	20	Tina was supposed to blowout the lowly Redskins, but we’ll blame her poor performance on the bad weather. This week should turn into a shootout against the Chiefs. Tina will return to form this game.
QB	Fishes	Jocinda Smith	vs. Panthers	22	19	Jocinda has been stepping it up in the run game as well as the pass game. She’s improved as the season’s gone along. This matchup with the Panthers could turn into a high scoring affair, so we think Jocinda is a pretty good option this week.
QB	Pigskins	Donovan McNabb	vs. Jets	11	19	Donovan struggled last week against the Lions, and the Jets are no slouch either. If Donovan wants his team to have a chance in this game, he’ll have to be on his A-game.
QB	Lions	Renee Matthews	vs. Orcas	8	18	Renee was stifled by the tough Pigskins defense. This week should be a little tamer against the Orcas, but the whole Lions offense has been in a funk and Renee will have to work extra hard to get them out of it.
QB	Rockets	Rich Gannon	@ Raiders	33	17	Is Rich Gannon back? He had an excellent game against the Cardinals, and the Raiders are known to turns games into offensive battles. Let’s see if Rich can keep it going here.
QB	Ravens	Betty Houstan	@ Wombats	16	16	Betty has been picking up her production a little bit the last couple weeks. I say stay with the hot hand here, even against the Wombats defense. Betty has found her groove.
QB	Dolphins	Liz Levin	vs. Redskins	13	15	Liz had a nice game last week with 13 fantasy points. This week, we have matchup of arguably the two worst teams in the league. If Liz was ever going to have a matchup that I would highly recommend her for, it’s this one.
QB	49ers	Dan Doorknob	vs. Jaguars	10	15	Dan has been alright, but a matchup against the so-so Jaguars secondary could be just what he needs. He has a few tall receivers who have the advantage over the Jaguars diminutive defensive players.
QB	Wombats	Charlotte Allen	vs. Ravens	27	15	Charlotte enjoyed her time last week beating up the worst team in the league. This week she’ll return closer to normalcy, but the Ravens have also been a common victim of other teams. Charlotte could have another good game.
QB	Eagles	Billy Jean Blackwood	vs. Bills	12	15	Perhaps Billy Jean is starting to cool off. This week she’s facing the Bills defense which has been very up and down this year when it comes to stopping quarterbacks.
QB	Panthers	Zena Fromme	@ Fishes	21	14	Zena had a solid game against the Jets last week, and the Fishes defense is of the same vein. There’s a lot of variability in Zena’s possible output, so you’ll be putting up a little risk if you leave her in your lineup.
QB	Bengals	Bert Nicholson	vs. Chiefs	14	14	Bert and the Bengals have been doing alright lately (Bert and the Bengals would make a great band name though). A matchup against the scary Rams defense doesn’t leave much upside for Bert this game.
QB	Redskins	Stuart Sullivan	@ Dolphins	0	13	This matchup of the bumbling Redskins vs. the incompetent Dolphins is going to come down to who sucks less. This means that Stuart might not actually suck this week.
QB	Broncos	Sharon Crowe	@ Buccaneers	19	12	The Bucs were just able to shut down Billy Jean and the Eagles, so it doesn’t seem too promising for Sharon here. Her one-dimensional game may hurt her this week.
QB	Cardinals	Drew Bledsoe	@ Ponies	8	8	Drew has been doing whatever he can to prove to us that he’s not a good fantasy quarterback. You should look elsewhere.
QB	Orcas	Andy Gibbons	@ Lions	5	6	The Orcas offense has just been awful lately. I wouldn’t trust any of them in my starting lineup, especially Andy.

Defenses

Pos.	Team	Opponent	Last Week	Projection	Comments....................................................
DEF	Jaguars	@ 49ers	18	17	The 49ers have sputtered on offense this year, and the Jaguars will be hungry for takeaways in this matchup. They make for a very promising fantasy start.
DEF	Ravens	@ Wombats	10	17	The one redeeming quality of playing the Wombats is that you get to face the most sackable quarterback in the league. The Ravens might surprise us this week.
DEF	Packers	@ Chiefs	27	17	The Packers had one of the best games of the year feasting on the Redskins offense. This week won’t be quite as impressive, but the Chiefs have had some bad games this year. If the Packers rack up the sacks, it’ll be a long day in Kansas City.
DEF	Lions	vs. Orcas	6	16	The Lions did not have a good day against the Pigskins last time out, but this Sunday they get the Orcas, who have the most boring offense in the league. The Lions should capitalize on the opportunity.
DEF	Fishes	vs. Panthers	23	15	The Fishes had a solid outing last Sunday, and they look poised to do it again against a subpar Panthers team. The Fishes might be in the top tier of defenses this week again.
DEF	Buccaneers	vs. Broncos	14	15	The Buccaneers surprised us all by shutting up the Eagles. The Broncos rely on their pass game, but Sharon Crowe isn’t the quickest on her feet. The Bucs could get a lot of sacks this Sunday. They’re also really good at getting safeties for some reason.
DEF	Rams	@ Bengals	18	14	The Rams defense has been pretty solid, and they’re facing an average Bengals team this week. The Rams have a chance to make some noise.
DEF	Wombats	vs. Ravens	18	14	The Wombats took full advantage of last week’s matchup against the Dolphins. The Ravens are almost as bad, not quite as bad, but are still a good candidate for the Wombats defense to pounce on.
DEF	Raiders	vs. Rockets	15	14	The Raiders were able to force some turnovers against the best offense in the league. The Rockets are coming off a great game, but they were playing high above their standard. The Raiders could have a great game.
DEF	Redskins	@ Dolphins	6	14	Even though the Redskins held Tina Herrera to her worst game of the year, they didn’t record many defensive stats. This week, they have a better chance to do that against everyone’s favorite opponent, the Dolphins.
DEF	Dolphins	vs. Redskins	10	13	Welcome to the Blunder Bowl, between the worst two teams in the league. There may be a lot of mistakes between the two squads, so defenses will capitalize.
DEF	Ponies	vs. Cardinals	15	13	The Cardinals are coming to town and that’s a pretty good sign for the Ponies, who have a great chance to pick off Drew Bledsoe a couple times.
DEF	Pigskins	vs. Jets	19	12	The Pigskins had a nice time shutting down Renee Matthews and the Lions. But this is their biggest test yet: Steve McNair and the Jets. They probably won’t have a great game, but if anyone can slow down Air McNair, is this sturdy defense.
DEF	Jets	@ Pigskins	19	12	The Jets had a fantastic game defensively against the Panthers, but this week’s matchup is gonna be a tough one. The Pigskins won’t fall down for the Jets, so their production might not be as much.
DEF	Panthers	@ Fishes	7	11	The Panthers were unable to slow down Steve McNair last week. Jocinda Smith may be a little less of a challenge, but she’s still not the easiest target to sack. The Panthers will have a moderate game.
DEF	Chiefs	vs. Packers	9	11	The Redskins surprisingly stifled Tina Herrara last week, although it may have been due to bad weather. Can the Chiefs do the same? I wouldn’t bank on it, but it’s possible.
DEF	Eagles	vs. Bills	7	10	The Eagles looked all out of sorts last week. Let’s see if they can right the ship here against the Bills.
DEF	Orcas	@ Lions	16	10	The Lions offense has struggled at times, but they could wake up at any moment. We’d pin the Orcas in the middle tier; you could do better.
DEF	Bills	@ Eagles	15	9	The Bills defense is a finicky bunch. They couldn’t get much against the average Rockets, but shut down a potent Rams team. Here with the Eagles, we’re not sure what to expect. But just know that the Eagles will be hungry for a win after losing big to the Bucs.
DEF	49ers	vs. Jaguars	18	8	It’s gonna be a shootout today, but the Jaguars are known to cough up the ball. However, the lack of sacks will not help the 49ers’ shot as a good starting fantasy defense.
DEF	Rockets	@ Raiders	17	8	That was a great game for the Rockets defense, who dominated the Cardinals. However, they’re on the road against the Raiders, who are a much scarier beast. We don’t like the Rockets’ chances in this one.
DEF	Cardinals	@ Ponies	8	7	The Cardinals just let the Rockets run all over them, and the Ponies are even more skilled on the offensive side of the ball. Stay far away from this one.
DEF	Bengals	vs. Rams	5	6	It’s been a rough season for the Bengals defense so far, and I don’t think a matchup with the Rams is a good idea. It could be another long day for the orange and black.
DEF	Broncos	@ Buccaneers	9	2	The Buccaneers are this week’s opponent, and they just decimated what we thought was a good defense. What are they going to do to what we know is a bad defense? Don’t even think about starting the Broncos defense.

Running Backs and Wide Receivers

Pos.	Team	Player	Opponent	Last Week	Projection	Comments.................................................
RB/WR	49ers	Frankie McDoogle	vs. Jaguars	23	27	Frankie had an excellent game last week, and he’s poised for more. He’s a tall, fast receiver that the Jaguars cannot keep up with. Frankie is gonna have a huge game, you heard it here first.
WR	Rockets	Mindy Weaver	@ Raiders	32	26	That’s better. Mindy rebounded from 2 points to score 32 points. This week against the Raiders, she has another juicy matchup as the Raiders like to just score more than you and don’t care about how much offense they allow. Mindy is a solid start once again.
RB/WR	Wombats	Vicki Kawaguchi	vs. Ravens	26	24	Vicki has been one of the hottest fantasy players lately, averaging nearly 32 points over her last 4 games. It looks pretty likely that she’ll continue that trend this week against a cruddy Ravens defense.
RB/WR	Ponies	Horace Young	vs. Cardinals	13	22	Horace didn’t have quite the amazing game we were expecting, but he could certainly get it this week against a struggling Cardinals’ defense. Horace is the man and needs to be in your lineup.
RB/WR	Raiders	Armon Hammerstein	vs. Rockets	33	20	Right now you are probably a really happy owner if Armon is on your fantasy team. Keep him in that lineup.
RB/WR	Redskins	Jimmy Rockfish	@ Dolphins	13	20	We know that Jimmy is the main beneficiary in the Redskins offense, and he’ll be profiting more than ever against a horrible Dolphins team. If the Redskins want to snag a win, they’ll give the ball to Jimmy all day.
RB/WR	Bengals	Oliver Ramierez	vs. Rams	23	20	Nothing can slow down Oliver except himself, and he doesn’t play defense.
WR	Chiefs	Neal Smith	@ Bengals	29	20	Neal Smith has been spectacular lately as the Chiefs offense has finally found their rhythm. They’ll need Neal to show up big against the Packers, and I don’t think he will disappoint.
WR	Dolphins	Kim Esposito	vs. Redskins	30	19	My goodness, Kim came out of nowhere to drop 30 points last week. She has boom potential again as the Dolphins-Redskins came could go either way with two bad teams playing each other. Get this girl in your lineup.
WR	Ponies	Evan Lindstrom	vs. Cardinals	12	18	We’ve been promising an Evan breakout game for a couple weeks now, but maybe THIS is the week. The Cardinals just let 2nd string WR Daisy Dewchester score 33 points on them, maybe Evan could put up a similar game.
WR	Bills	Austin Carpenter	@ Eagles	12	18	Austin was held to “only” 12 points, but you can’t keep him down for very long. If the Bills want to win this one, they’ll have to pass to Austin early and often. I’d expect a big game from the little Carpenter.
WR	49ers	J.J. Shetland	vs. Jaguars	8	17	If the 49ers are gonna keep up with the Jaguars, they’ll need to exploit the Jaguars’ secondary. With tall receivers like Frankie and J.J., passing the ball high and deep may be their best option. It could become a shootout, and you might want both these receivers in your lineup.
WR	Packers	Maria Luna	@ Chiefs	14	17	Maria is losing too many opportunities to the other receivers on her team. She’s still the number one target, but she hasn’t really separated herself in a while. We’re waiting for her next big game.
WR	Cardinals	Ernie Steele	@ Ponies	10	17	Ernie had his worst week last Monday, which is still a double-digit game. He’s a better play this week against a Raiders team in a matchup that will necessitate a shootout.
WR	Fishes	Nellie O’Neal	vs. Panthers	9	17	Nellie should have a feast facing off against a sluggish Panthers defense.
RB	Jaguars	Gretchen Hasselhoff	@ 49ers	28	16	Gretchen exploded last week for nearly 30 points. This week against the 49ers, she should have plenty of chances to excel. However, the Jaguars will probably employ the pass game more than the run game.
WR	Panthers	Susie Townshend	@ Fishes	36	16	Susie has been phenomenal this year, she’s definitely the favorite target of Zena Fromme. Will an opposing defense focus all their efforts on covering her?
RB/WR	Rams	Knuckles McGhee	@ Bengals	16	16	Knuckles is the top target, and the Bengals have been ceremonially obliterated the last couple weeks. It could be another good game for McGhee.
WR	49ers	Lola Linkletter	vs. Jaguars	0	15	Lola Linkletter is getting her chance to make something happen as starting running back against the Jaguars. We know that whatever RB faces the Jaguars has a possibility to go off, so Lola may be worth the gamble this week.
RB/WR	Jets	Georgette Washington	@ Pigskins	20	15	Georgette is key to the Jets success. She’s been a workhorse all season. In what may be their toughest game yet, Georgette will need to step it up if she wants to lead her team to victory. However, the Pigskins are a tough defense so there’s always a chance she doesn’t get it going.
WR	Jets	Karen Donato	@ Pigskins	29	15	Karen is on fire! In her last 3 games she is averaging 23 points. Steve McNair likes what he sees when Karen is open. I think they’ll need her to stay hot in this tense matchup, so you can be confident plugging her into your lineup again.
WR	Jaguars	Amir Khan	@ 49ers	12	15	Amir is a model of consistency. You know what you’re gonna get with him. The good news is that if he breaks his consistent streak, it will be with a blowout game and not an 0-fer.
WR	Panthers	Daphne Farrington	@ Fishes	12	15	Daphne is another one of those curious cases where she either scores double digits or nothing. This week against the Fishes could turn into a shootout, so we'll ink Daphne in double digits yet again.
WR	Buccaneers	Baloney Maloney	vs. Broncos	5	15	Where has Baloney been? He’s not the same receiver he once was. Hopefully he has a bounce-back week this game against a Broncos defense that has been kind to opposing offenses.
WR	Buccaneers	Ray Tran	vs. Broncos	21	15	Ray Tran had a huge game last week! But he’s another one of those unpredictable 2nd receivers. He could have another nice game this Sunday as the Buccaneers play the hapless Broncos defense.
RB/WR	Pigskins	Isaac Drummond	vs. Jets	15	15	Isaac has had two straight subpar games (by his standards). He will have to come back in a big way if the Pigskins want to beat the Jets. Isaac has some good breakout potential this week.
WR	Broncos	Pickles Peterson	@ Buccaneers	34	15	Pickles had an outstanding game last week putting up a monster 34. This week he has to face the Buccaneers who just shut down the Eagles. They might shut down the Broncos too, but you never want to bet against Pickles.
WR	Rockets	Daisy Dewchester	@ Raiders	33	15	Woah Daisy! She came out of nowhere to put up a huge game on Monday night. I’m pretty sure 33 points is her maximum, but perhaps this game is an indicator of her turning the corner for the rest of the season. At least, you’d hope for that if she’s on your team. The Raiders do give up a lot of yards.
WR	Jaguars	Cade McNown	@ 49ers	13	14	Cade returned to normal last game, which is still pretty good. He’s one of the few fantasy players with 10+ points every week, and there’s no reason to suggest that that streak won’t continue.
WR	Eagles	Nickie Noodleson	vs. Bills	14	14	Nickie was the only Eagle to have anything against the Buccaneers. He’s definitely the best option out of the Eagles right now, and that trend will continue this week.
WR	Bills	Belinda Winters	@ Eagles	10	14	Belinda returned to double digits after a two-week slide. The Buccaneers just got done thrashing the Eagles, will the Bills do the same? It’s possible. I’d say Belinda has upside this week but isn’t a sure bet.
RB	Jaguars	Ashley Webber	@ 49ers	11	12	Ashley might get some chances to break loose if the Jaguars get and maintain a big early lead on the Niners.
WR	Packers	Dolores Lucio	@ Chiefs	6	12	Last week Christy had a better game than Dolores, so naturally this week it’s probably Dolores who’s gonna have the better outing. Although nobody can say for sure.
WR	Lions	Annie Frazier	vs. Orcas	14	12	Annie has solidified her spot in front of Florence Jackson on the depth chart. She’s been the main target for a while and that doesn’t seem to be changing any time soon…(knock on wood)
WR	Ravens	Vanna Steinman	@ Wombats	12	12	Vanna came back down to earth after a 40 point performance. 12 points is about the norm for her, I’d say.
WR	Raiders	Pete Montoya	vs. Rockets	15	12	Pete has been picking it up the last couple weeks. He’s earned the trust of Eric Lebeaux and is a more appealing fantasy start because of it.
RB/WR	Lions	Florence Jackson	vs. Orcas	10	11	Unfortunately, Florence has not been the stud that she was projected to be at the start of the season. However, she is good for a low-end double-digit output almost every week. So, if you don’t have any reliable options for double-digit games, Florence will still be effective in your lineup.
WR	Pigskins	Hank Wilson	vs. Jets	11	11	Hank might have found his niche as the Pigskins’ second receiver. The ‘Skins will need all the offense they can get against this Jets squad, so Hank Wilson is expected to be involved.
WR	Dolphins	Kristi Yeoh	vs. Redskins	11	10	Kristi is a curious case. Three weeks, she scored 0. The other three weeks, she put up double digits. Which one will it be this week? I would bet on double digits, as the Dolphins and Redskins will finally get a chance to show off their offense, since they’re each playing a cruddy defense.
WR	Jaguars	Ronny Dobbs	@ 49ers	17	10	Ronny is too up and down to be trusted every week, but he’s always a good gamble due to his tremendous upside in the Jaguars passing game. So it’s always a roll of the dice if you go with Ronny in your lineup.
WR	Wombats	Victor Jones	vs. Ravens	32	10	Victor is perhaps the most frustrating fantasy player this season. So far this year, when he doesn’t score 0, he scores at least 14. Unfortunately, he scores 0 just about as much as he scores double digits. The Ravens seem like a favorable matchup but we can’t be certain with Victor.
WR	Eagles	Nutzy Nussbaum	vs. Bills	2	10	This game is hard to predict, as both the Bills and the Eagles have shown flashes of greatness and droughts of disappointment. But as with most fantasy receiver, it’ll come down to who snags the touchdowns. Nutzy has a chance, but he’s no sure bet.
WR	Broncos	Star Moonbeam	@ Buccaneers	11	10	The Buccaneers manhandled the Eagles last week, and look to do the same to the Broncos. However, Star is always a good fantasy start because of her potential for long touchdowns.
WR	Cardinals	Brett Favre	@ Ponies	14	9	Brett had a nice game last week which included a touchdown. He’s another touchdown-dependent receiver, and Drew Bledsoe isn’t having too much success in the passing game for Favre’s benefit. He’s a risky play this week.
WR	Fishes	Michelle Hall	vs. Panthers	27	9	Michelle had a huge game last week…which probably means she’ll get jack squat this Sunday.
RB/WR	Rams	Winky Wojohowitz	@ Bengals	13	9	Winky was able to sneak into the endzone last game. I’d love to say I predicted it, but it’s so hard to know what Winky is gonna do in any given week. He’s always a risky play.
WR	Buccaneers	Needle Haystack	vs. Broncos	5	8	Needle seems to be involved in the offense, but it varies from week to week. He’s a better option than usual this week, though, as the Broncos have been known to give up a lot of yards.
WR	Wombats	Travis Diamond	vs. Ravens	8	8	Travis had a respectable 8 points last week, which seems to be about his potential. Sitting behind two solid receivers on the depth chart, he is not a likely candidate to have a huge game.
RB	Panthers	Tiffany Bosworth	@ Fishes	4	8	Tiffany has proved herself as the Panthers top rusher. However, the Panthers are still a pass-first team.
WR	Bengals	Mark Epstein	vs. Rams	7	8	Mark had a single catch last week for less than 10 yards, but at least it was a touchdown. Mark has been limited to making cameo appearances in the Bengals offense.
WR	Redskins	Esther French	@ Dolphins	1	8	Esther might see some more action today in the Blunder Bowl against the Dolphins. She’s a good candidate for a sneaky touchdown.
RB	Lions	Junior Seau	vs. Orcas	7	7	Junior had a substantial amount of yardage last week. One of these days, he’s gonna get into the end zone. Are you ballsy enough to start Junior in hopes of that outcome? Because I don’t think I would be.
RB/WR	Chiefs	Rose Watson	vs. Packers	0	7	Rose is a very unreliable fantasy option, but the Chiefs offense has been improving lately. You never know when she’ll get back in the action.
RB/WR	Raiders	Terrell Davis	vs. Rockets	0	7	Terrell is gonna get back in the action on Sunday against the Rockets. He has the potential for a touchdown or more, but it all depends on if the Raiders decide to run or pass more. If they pass more, this benefits TD.
WR	Packers	Christy McTavish	@ Chiefs	12	6	Christy was able to steal a touchdown away from somebody else on her team. The reverse might happen this week, because I’m never sure who gets the targets besides Maria.
RB	Cardinals	Marcus Weiss	@ Ponies	10	6	Marcus is still rushing, so it seems! He has two straight weeks with a touchdown, but as soon as he doesn’t score one, he’s not very valuable as a fantasy option.
RB/WR	Eagles	Jevon Kearse	vs. Bills	3	6	Jevon’s production the last two weeks has trailed off with scores of 8 and 3. Here’s to hoping he can bring it back against the Bills, but he’s definitely in a slump right now.
WR	Pigskins	Tony Delvecchio	vs. Jets	0	6	Tony is highly unpredictable as the third ranked receiver on this Pigskins squad. In this tough matchup against the Jets, we’d expect Tony to stay on the line blocking rather than line up as a receiver.
RB	Bengals	George Anderson	vs. Rams	6	6	George is only a good fantasy option when he reaches the endzone. When he doesn’t, he’s only a desperation flex.
WR	Jaguars	Jay Hawk	@ 49ers	4	5	Jay has his moments, but usually only one of them per game. It’s his lack of volume that makes him an unreliable fantasy product.
RB	Dolphins	Olivia Harris	vs. Redskins	2	5	Olivia wasn’t able to get anything going during last week’s contest, but she’s still the Dolphins’ top running option and the Redskins aren’t looking very good.
WR	Ravens	Mikey Tice	@ Wombats	2	5	Mikey has only limited upside in a Ravens offense that struggles to get the ball down the field.
WR	Orcas	Reese Worthington	@ Lions	0	5	PSA: The Orcas suck. Move on.
WR	Orcas	Rainbow Callahan	@ Lions	9	5	PSA: The Orcas suck. Move on.
RB/WR	Orcas	Ricky Williams	@ Lions	0	5	PSA: The Orcas suck. Move on.
WR	Jets	Leah Wayne	@ Pigskins	7	4	Leah will probably be needed on the offensive line as the Pigskins have a swarming defense. She won’t get many looks as a receiver.
RB	Packers	Cynthia Miller	@ Chiefs	1	4	Cynthia is a talented running back, but Tina eats up most of the yardage on the ground.
RB	Buccaneers	Tom Getz	vs. Broncos	12	4	Tom had a nice little game last week! He has the potential to be a great running back, the Buccaneers need to be willing to let him run.
WR	Broncos	Petunia Young	@ Buccaneers	1	4	Petunia hasn’t seen much action the past two weeks, are the Broncos moving on from her? Will she need to block more against this scary Bucs defense?
RB/WR	Redskins	Stephanie Morgan	@ Dolphins	2	4	Stephanie might get a chance today as the Dolphins defense has more holes than swiss cheese.
RB	Chiefs	Fred Benson	vs. Packers	2	4	Fred gets a little bit here and there, but nothing extraordinary.
RB	Chiefs	James Zorn	vs. Packers	9	4	James Zorn is just kinda…there. Not sure exactly what he does here.
RB	Jets	Kiesha Phillips	@ Pigskins	1	3	Kiesha is still the second or third string running back here.
RB	Ponies	Kimmy Eckman	vs. Cardinals	0	3	Last week proved to us that Kimmy’s 22-outburst was definitely a fluke.
RB	Panthers	Kate Schwartz	@ Fishes	2	3	Kate is not a red zone threat, just a change of pace back.
RB	Rams	Patsy Clinehurst	@ Bengals	0	3	Patsy didn’t get any chances last week, and whatever she’s going to get this week won’t be substantial enough to warrant a fantasy start.
RB	Rams	King Kirby	@ Bengals	16	3	King finally played like one, catching not one, but two touchdowns last game! I’d be surprised if he can keep that up, but he’s a very unpredictable player.
RB/WR	Rockets	Mikey Thomas	@ Raiders	0	3	Mikey was absent from last week’s offense as they were having so much success with him blocking. It may stay that same way, if it’s the winning formula.
RB	Rockets	Mike Schwartz	@ Raiders	6	3	Mike only gets a couple touches here and there and isn’t worth a roster spot.
RB/WR	Fishes	Carlos Ocampo	vs. Panthers	3	3	Carlos is hard to predict. He plays running back, wide receiver, and offensive line, and can’t really decide which position is his main one. As it is, he’s only a guarantee for a couple points.
RB	Fishes	Mohammed Springsteen	vs. Panthers	0	3	Mohammed needs to be unleashed! But Jocinda is too focused on passing deep.
RB	Buccaneers	Yasmin Kristov	vs. Broncos	0	2	I think Yasmin’s only role with the ball on this team is kick returns, and in Backyard Football it’s nearly impossible to return one of those for a touchdown.
RB	Dolphins	Marky Dubois	vs. Redskins	3	2	Marky was looking good as the Dolphins’ running back, but Olivia Harris has since taken over his role.
WR	Bills	Craig David	@ Eagles	0	2	Craig still belongs on the fantasy bench, unfortunately. This Bills offense is a triangle of Debra, Austin, and Belinda.
RB	Bills	Dwight Frye	@ Eagles	0	2	The Bills have hinted at changing up their game plan by involving more players in the running game. I don’t think it will turn anybody into a fantasy stud, though.
RB	Bengals	Fred Sanders	vs. Rams	1	2	Fred is a pretty finicky fantasy play, he’s nearly interchangeable with George Anderson.
RB	Bills	Lance Lundergaard	@ Eagles	0	2	The Bills have hinted at changing up their game plan by involving more players in the running game. I don’t think it will turn anybody into a fantasy stud, though.
RB	Pigskins	Hans R. Dirtywashum	vs. Jets	1	2	Our campaigned worked for Marcus Weiss to start at running back, we should campaign for Hans next!
WR	Ravens	Stinky Steiner	@ Wombats	0	2	Stinky is very unreliable. Now I know where he got his nickname from.
RB	Ravens	Pablo Sanchez	@ Wombats	0	2	Poor Pablo. He should stick to baseball.
RB	Raiders	Joshua Marriott	vs. Rockets	16	2	Joshua will be back to his seldom-used position. Not a viable fantasy option.
RB	Pigskins	Jane Davis	vs. Jets	0	2	Jane had her time but she’s fallen down the depth chart.
RB	Wombats	Amy Bostwick	vs. Ravens	2	1	Amy is one of those “running backs” on a team that passes it 90% of the time.
RB	Cardinals	Dmitri Petrovich	@ Ponies	0	1	Dmitri is mainly used a blocker these days and isn’t a good option on your fantasy team.
RB	Cardinals	Omar Stephano	@ Ponies	1	1	Omar is not worth much more than 1 point these days.
RB	Eagles	Lisa Crocket	vs. Bills	2	1	Lisa is the odd girl out in this offense. And that’s not just because she’s an odd girl.
RB	Broncos	Brace-Face Brixton	@ Buccaneers	1	1	The Broncos are definitely a pass first team.
RB	Broncos	Jay Canasta	@ Buccaneers	0	1	The Broncos are definitely a pass first team.
RB	49ers	Lulu Legosi	vs. Jaguars	0	0	Lulu is gonna be stuck on the offensive line this week.
RB	Packers	Erin Lopez	@ Chiefs	0	0	Erin had one good week but hasn’t been a big part of the Packers offense since. I think it’s safe to put her back in the list of 0’s down here.
RB	Redskins	Luanne Lui	vs. Packers	0	0
RB	Ponies	David Wilco	@ 49ers	0	0
RB	Wombats	Cathy Benitez	vs. Ravens	1	0
RB	Wombats	Paul Applebaum	vs. Ravens	0	0
RB	Ravens	Ramona Bennett	vs. Broncos	0	0
RB	Bengals	Wing Kwan	vs. Chiefs	0	0
RB	Dolphins	Greg Bonnell	vs. Redskins	0	0
RB	49ers	Karla Karloff	vs. Jaguars	0	0
RB	Rockets	Clarice Reid	@ Raiders	0	0
RB	Lions	June O’Shea	@ Pigskins	0	0
RB	Redskins	Cullen Sullivan	vs. Packers	0	0
RB	Chiefs	Spanky Simpson	@ Bengals	4	0
RB	Raiders	Olive Hussein	@ Jaguars	0	0
RB	Orcas	Julio Henderson	@ Fishes	1	0
RB	Orcas	Ben None	@ Fishes	0	0